![](https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/20220919_Shapiro-scaled-192x192-c-center.jpg)
Jeremy Shapiro
Research Director
Director, US Programme
Areas of expertise
Transatlantic relations; US foreign policy
Languages
English
Biography
Jeremy Shapiro is the research director of the European Council on Foreign Relations. His areas of focus include US foreign policy and transatlantic relations.
Shapiro was previously a fellow with the Project on International Order and Strategy and the Center on the United States and Europe at Brookings, where he edited the Foreign Policy program’s blog Order from Chaos. Prior to Brookings, he was a member of the U.S. State Department’s policy planning staff, where he advised the secretary of state on U.S. policy in North Africa and the Levant. He was also the senior advisor to Assistant Secretary of State for European and Eurasian Affairs Philip Gordon, providing strategic guidance on a wide variety of U.S.-European foreign policy issues.
Saving Syria one city at a time: How to deal with the siege of Aleppo
Civilian protection, humanitarian access and freezing the conflict must be priority in Aleppo and Syria to avert escalation to even more dangerous levels
Assessing the South China Sea Policy under Xi Jinping
Tensions in the South China Sea are on the rise in the context of competing sovereignty claims and increased militarisation by all claimants, while…
Donald Trump’s Bad Deal for Europe
Why a presidential victory for Donald Trump might leave Europe having to fend for itself
How China and the West use terrorism
In the hands of some governments, terrorism has become a semantic weapon for pressuring others to cooperate in their struggles
ECFR’s World in 30 Minutes: The future of Syria
ECFR's director Mark Leonard speaks to Alexandra Saieh, Policy Officer for Oxfam's Syria crisis response in Jordan, Fyodor Lukyanov, Editor-in-Chief of Russia in Global…
ECFR’s World in 30 Minutes: the future of Syria
Le directeur de l'ECFR Mark Leonard discute avec Alexandra Saieh, Policy Officer pour “Oxfam's Syria crisis response in Jordan”, Fyodor Lukyanov, éditeur en chef…
ECFR Scorecard 2016 Special – United States
Jeremy Shapiro, ECFR's Research Director, explains why the EU received a B grade for its foreign policies on the United States. You can…
ECFR’s World in 30 Minutes: Thirteen trends for 2016
ECFR’s director Mark Leonard speaks to ECFR’s research director Jeremy Shapiro about trends and issues in 2016. You can find the article with the…
Thirteen trends for 2016
What does the new year hold for Europe's foreign policy?
Publications
![](https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/UncleSam2-864x486-c-center.png)
Imagining Trump 2.0: Six scary policy scenarios for a second term
The potential return of Donald Trump to the White House is a matter of months away. Here are six scary policy scenarios to give Europeans sleepless nights and prepare them for what could be to come
![](https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/402833350-scaled-864x486-c-center.jpg)
Brace yourself: How the 2024 US presidential election could affect Europe
Fierce debates are raging among both Republicans and Democrats about America’s future foreign policy orientation. Europeans should take note and prepare
![](https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/Biden_European_Commission_399094480-scaled-864x486-c-center.jpg)
The art of vassalisation: How Russia’s war on Ukraine has transformed transatlantic relations
Europeans’ response to Russia’s war on Ukraine confirms their profound dependence on the US – an unwise position given the security challenge in Europe and coming geopolitical competition with China
![](https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/Meeting_of_the_President_of_Ukraine_with_the_President_of_the_European_Commission_and_the_High_Representative_of_the_EU_for_Foreign_Affairs_and_Security_Policy_41-scaled-e1662711340484-864x486-c-center.jpg)
Survive and thrive: A European plan to support Ukraine in the long war against Russia
To signal their commitment to Ukraine, Europeans should agree a ‘long-war plan’ of assistance against Russian aggression. This would include a ‘security compact,’ security assurances, and economic and energy support
![](https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/glorious-britain-scaled-864x486-c-center.jpg)
Beyond Global Britain: A realistic foreign policy for the UK
The UK government’s vision for Global Britain does not reflect today’s geostrategic realities. Yet the UK can forge an effective foreign policy if it focuses on British strengths, avoids military adventures in distant lands, and finds balanced, effective working relationships with the EU and the US
![](https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/15456279097_6f59227566_o-scaled-864x486-c-center.jpg)
The fall of the Afghan government and what it means for Europe
ECFR’s policy experts examine what the Taliban takeover means for countries and regions around the world: Europe, the US, the Middle East, Russia, China, Iran, Turkey, and the Sahel
![](https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/222224041-scaled-864x486-c-center.jpg)
The geopolitics of the European Green Deal
The EU should become a global standard-setter for the energy transition, and prepare to manage the profound geopolitical repercussions of the Green Deal in its relationships with its neighbourhood
![](https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/222718051-scaled-864x486-c-center.jpg)
Sovereign Europe, dangerous world: Five agendas to protect Europe’s capacity to act
To manage in this new world, the EU and its members need to embark on a broad-based effort to recover their strategic sovereignty
![](https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/vestager-breton-864x486-c-center.jpg)
Europe’s digital sovereignty: From rulemaker to superpower in the age of US-China rivalry
The EU cannot continue to rely on its regulatory power but must become a tech superpower in its own right. Referees do not win the game
Health sovereignty: How to build a resilient European response to pandemics
Europe must improve its early warning systems, supply chain resilience, medical R&D, and cyber security and technology, to act decisively in future emergencies
Articles
![](https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/221849663-scaled-864x486-c-center.jpg)
Letter from Washington: The war for Trump’s mind
As Donald Trump gets closer to a second term in the White House, Republican entreprenuers are battling it out to fill in the gaps in his foreign policy with their own ambitions
![](https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/picturewashington3-scaled-864x486-c-center.jpg)
Letter from Washington: All-knowing America and US intelligence diplomacy
The apparent omniscience of US intelligence is a valuable strategic asset. In this third instalment of ECFR’s Letters from Washington, Jeremy Shapiro sets out what Europeans can learn from the US intelligence community to boost their diplomatic arsenal
![](https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/450767776-scaled-864x486-c-center.jpg)
Letter from Washington: Why we hate Trump
The establishment hates Donald Trump and Trump voters hate the establishment. In this second instalment of ECFR’s Letters from Washington, Jeremy Shapiro explains why Europeans need to understand the dynamics that underpin this toxic relationship
![](https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/291557951-scaled-864x486-c-center.jpg)
Letter from Washington: Democracy on the ballot
In our new series of letters from Washington, Jeremy Shapiro helps you navigate a US election year that could have profound implications for Europe. In this first instalment, he outlines how campaigns fought on an opponent’s threat to democracy could imperil that very same ideal (and not only in the US)
![](https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/400120381-scaled-864x486-c-center.jpg)
2024: The year we embrace predictable surprise
Ten predictions for the foreign policy trends of 2024, and a little bonus
![](https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/431579344_small-864x486-c-center.jpg)
The Trumpist Manifesto: The Republican struggle for a second-term foreign policy
The prospect of Donald Trump’s return to the US presidency has left three Republican tribes vying it out to fill in the details of his hazy foreign policy ambitions
![](https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/431624545-scaled-864x486-c-center.jpg)
America’s trade-off: Israel, Ukraine, and the inescapable China question
The US too often falls for its own superpower myth and fails to prioritise among its foreign policy commitments – including its present China challenge, which has not gone away
![](https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/Policy-Alert-4-864x486-c-center.jpg)
Why Americans will eventually sour on the war on Ukraine (but not soon)
Support in the US for Ukraine will one day soften. Europeans need to formulate their own plan to continue the long war for when it does
![](https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/policy_alert_banner-864x486-c-center.png)
Compromise at Vilnius: Ukraine’s path to NATO membership
A form of membership offer to Ukraine at NATO’s Vilnius summit will acquire an inexorable momentum of its own
![](https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/405500356-scaled-864x486-c-center.jpg)
How the West should prepare for the Turkish elections
The US and the EU should refrain from making any interventions during Turkey’s election period – but they may need to respond quickly depending on the results of the vote
Specials
Fear and loathing on the road to the US elections
European leaders are underestimating the danger that Trump presents to the transatlantic alliance and assuming too much continuity in the event of a Clinton presidency
Podcasts
![](https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/world-864x486-c-center.jpg)
NATO and beyond: America’s domestic politics and Ukraine
Mark Leonard welcomes Jeremy Shapiro to discuss America’s next policy moves as it responds to Russia’s war in Ukraine
![](https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/world-864x486-c-center.jpg)
From crisis to crisis: Evaluating Biden’s foreign policy
Mark Leonard welcomes Alexander Ward and Jeremy Shapiro to discuss Biden’s foreign policy performance
![](https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/world-864x486-c-center.jpg)
The future of the war in Gaza
Mark Leonard welcomes Hugh Lovatt, Julien Barnes-Dacey, and Jeremy Shapiro to discuss the current situation in Gaza and the possible futures of the war
![](https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/world-864x486-c-center.jpg)
Two long years of war in Ukraine
Mark Leonard welcomes Gustav Gressel and Jeremy Shapiro to understand what factors will shape a third year of war in Ukraine
![](https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/world-864x486-c-center.jpg)
Ten foreign policy predictions for 2024
Mark Leonard and Jeremy Shapiro lay out ten foreign policy projections for 2024
![](https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/world-864x486-c-center.jpg)
Africa and the changing global order
Jeremy Shapiro welcomes Adebayo Olukoshi, Brian Kagoro, and Theodore Murphy to talk about Africa and the global order
![](https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/world-864x486-c-center.jpg)
Understanding the current military situation in Ukraine
In this week’s episode, Jeremy Shapiro welcomes Michael Kofman and Gustav Gressel to discuss the military situation in Ukraine
![](https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/world-864x486-c-center.jpg)
The role of the Persian Gulf in the war in Gaza
Jeremy Shapiro welcomes Cinzia Bianco and Hugh Lovatt to discuss the role of the Persian Gulf in the ongoing conflict in Gaza
![](https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/Anu-Bradford-864x486-c-center.jpg)
Digital empires: The global battle to regulate technology
Jeremy Shapiro welcomes Anu Bradford to discuss her new book “Digital Empires” and the race between China, the US, and the EU to regulate tech companies and the digital economy
![](https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/435618553-scaled-864x486-c-center.jpg)
A view from Moscow
Jeremy Shapiro welcomes Kadri Liik and Valerie Hopkins to discuss what Russian society really thinks about war in Ukraine
Events
![](https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Dormant-NATO-864x486-c-center.png)
Dormant NATO: Future Prospects and Challenges
Russia’s war against Ukraine has shown how much the Europeans are still dependent on the US to ensure their security, despite all the talk of…
![](https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Event-with-4-or-fewer-speakers-3-864x486-c-center.jpg)
After October 7 and after Raisi: Where next for Iranian foreign policy and the Western response?
A discussion assessing Iranian foreign policy following Hamas’s attacks of 7 October, Israel’s war on Gaza and the death of Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi
![](https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/The-Crossroads-of-Democracy-Foreign-Policy-Implications-of-the-2024-US-Presidential-Election-864x486-c-center.jpg)
The Crossroads of Democracy: Foreign Policy Implications of the 2024 US Presidential Election
Foreign policy seldom plays much of a role in American presidential elections, but the consequences of those contests can be profound for America’s allies in…
![](https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/baks-event-2023-864x486-c-center.png)
European defence: Expectations and demands of non-EU partners
This event is part of the German Forum on Security Policy, organised by the Federal Academy for Security Policy (BAKS).
![](https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/Green-Energy-Launch-Paper-12-May-1-864x486-c-center.png)
Green energy and China: How to avoid new dependencies?
Rhodium Group are delighted to invite you to the virtual launch event of our new policy paper “Circuit Breakers: Securing the Green Energy Supply Chain”
![](https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/ECOCO-Event-under-French-EU-Presidency-1-864x486-c-center.png)
Can Europe stand up to Chinese and Russian economic coercion?
The European Council on Foreign Relations in the context of the French Presidency of the Council of the EU is delighted to invite you to a debate on the principles that should guide Europe’s quest for economic sovereignty
![](https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/Valdis-Dombrovskis-event-2-864x486-c-center.png)
Europe’s answer to economic warfare: The EU’s anti-coercion instrument and building sovereignty in a networked world
Join ECFR in this two-part event on the EU’s potentially game-changing geopolitical instrument against economic blackmail from great powers, and the principles that should guide Europe’s quest for economic sovereignty
![](https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/EpSxvWtW8AEO759-864x486-c-center.jpg)
Strategic sovereignty: how can Europe survive Biden’s presidency
The event will convene a high-level group of Italian decision-makers and opinion shapers across government, business, media and the expert community as well as member of ECFR Council