Dormant NATO: Future Prospects and Challenges

, Berlin time (CEST, UTC+2)

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Camille Grand, Distinguished Policy Fellow, ECFR

Sumantra Maitra, Senior Fellow, Center for Renewing America 

Jeremy Shapiro, Research Director & US Programme Director, ECFR 

Chaired by

Jana Puglierin, Head, ECFR Berlin & Senior Policy Fellow, ECFR

Russia’s war against Ukraine has shown how much the Europeans are still dependent on the US to ensure their security, despite all the talk of “strategic autonomy”. Even though Europeans have significantly increased their defence spending over the past two years, there is still a massive transatlantic imbalance in NATO. The potential re-election of Donald Trump puts NATO’s future into question. Trump has controversially stated that he would encourage Russia to “do whatever the hell they want” to any NATO country that doesn’t meet the 2% defense spending target.  

Conversely, if President Biden is re-elected, NATO may still struggle as the administration juggles European defense commitments with the rising threat from China.  

This webinar will explore these scenarios, discussing NATO’s adaptability and the broader implications for international security. 

This event is organized as part of the 2024 Road to Election virtual series, a collaboration of over 30 transatlantic partners. For more information on the project and other upcoming events, please visit