Highlights
Featured
A sharp right turn: A forecast for the 2024 European Parliament elections
The 2024 European Parliament elections will see a shift to the right in many countries and could mean that a populist right coalition emerges with a majority for the first time
Beyond the counter-offensive: Attrition, stalemate, and the future of the war in Ukraine
The Ukraine conflict is a war of attrition – that Russia is set to win. Europeans must act now to increase supplies, helping Ukraine not only survive, but prevail
A crisis of one’s own: The politics of trauma in Europe’s election year
European politics is divided between ‘crisis tribes,’ formed from different traumas. Climate and migration are set to be especially influential in this year’s European Parliament election
The challenges ahead: What to watch for in 2024
Amid the ongoing political turmoil and with half of the world’s population going to the polls, the EU needs to prepare for another stormy year
Mark Leonard's World in 30 minutes
The future of the Red Sea
Mark Leonard welcomes Cinzia Bianco and Theodore Murphy to discuss the crisis in the Red Sea and its escalation potential
ECFR on air
Beyond Gaza: focus on regional and global players
Cinzia Bianco speaks to Dania Thafer and Elham Fakhro about the regional reverberations of the war in Gaza, particularly from the perspective of key Arab Gulf monarchies such as Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates
Featured projects
Charting The Long War
For seven decades, European integration has been driven by the quest for peace. The Russian invasion of Ukraine marks a turning point.
Featured
Re:shape Global Europe
The project strives to engage citizens across Europe and generate a wide debate about the purpose of European power in the twenty-first century
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Public opinion polling
Through polling in EU member states, ECFR’s analysis seeks to unlock shifting coalitions in Europe that favour a more internationally engaged union
Featured
Latest
Backsliding in Belgrade: The state of Serbia’s European future
Serbia is rapidly veering off its course for accession. Last month’s potentially fraudulent general election and Belgrade’s increasing distance from EU foreign policy should worry those in Brussels
Getting on track: New ways to deliver Poland’s energy ambitions
The new government in Warsaw is committed to pursuing a more ambitious energy and climate policy than its Law and Justice predecessors. There are several ways it can position itself to deliver on its goals and work closely with EU partners
Court order: Why Europeans should support the ICJ’s decision on South Africa’s genocide case against Israel
Despite their disagreements over the case, it is crucial that European countries support the implementation of the ICJ’s provisional measures
A stronger partner: How Europeans can make the most of the EU-US Trade and Technology Council
In this year of elections, Europeans can make progress on numerous fronts with the US by investing in the Trade and Technology Council
Beyond the chainsaw: The Argentine roots of the Milei phenomenon
Argentina’s president, Javier Milei, is fast achieving cult status among the global far right. But the tendencies that contributed to his rise could also be the undoing of this extreme libertarian experiment
Security recall: The risk of Chinese electric vehicles in Europe
The security challenge posed by Chinese electric vehicles is in many ways greater – and trickier to solve – than that of 5G networks. With such cars entering the European market at growing speed, policymakers need to move swiftly
Our worry was that there will be politicians that would surely try to follow the trend and would be outspoken about the need to stop supporting Ukraine
Only if they carefully absorb the lessons learned from this war will Europeans be ready for the kinds of confrontations between great powers that are becoming increasingly likely in the 21st century
In a world where the impacts of climate change are more evident every day, we were looking for an innovative way to engage those who follow and read us in a more interactive way
Arturo Varvelli comments on the launch of Fantaforecasting’s Special Competition “Geopolitics, technology and energy transition: predictions for a changing world”
Every time the Russians have been saying we’re open to talk, they’ve added “provided Ukraine recognises the new territorial realities”, which means surrendering and giving up its territorial integrity
More on Africa
Tricks of the trade: Strengthening EU-African cooperation on trade in services
Services play an increasingly important role in international trade. Improving EU-African trade in services would have wide-ranging benefits for both sides
More on Asia
The battle for the Indian Ocean: How the EU and India can strengthen maritime security
China is becoming increasingly assertive in the Indian Ocean. The EU and India should work together to support the smaller states of the region
More on European Power
Multilateral development in flux: Strengthening European cooperation with the global south
European countries are rethinking their policies on multilateral development. In the face of intersecting crises, they should embrace a new, far-sighted vision for development cooperation.
More on Middle East and North Africa
Road to nowhere: Why Europe’s border externalisation is a dead end
Europeans need to stop handing control of their borders to southern Mediterranean states. Instead, they should pursue measures that tie the short-term imperative to reduce irregular migration to longer-term strategies that lessen the need for people to migrate in the first place
More on United States
The art of vassalisation: How Russia’s war on Ukraine has transformed transatlantic relations
Europeans’ response to Russia’s war on Ukraine confirms their profound dependence on the US – an unwise position given the security challenge in Europe and coming geopolitical competition with China
More on Wider Europe
From Russia with love: How Moscow courts the global south
Since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, it has been competing with the West for the support of the rest of the world. But with all of its relationships now subordinate to its war effort, Moscow’s foreign policy is weakened
Views from the Council
A war of wills: Europe’s peace mission in 2024
Russia will continue its war on Ukraine for as long as it can. Europeans need to make it clear that their will to support Kyiv will not falter