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Alone in a Trumpian world: The EU and global public opinion after the US elections
- Timothy Garton Ash, Ivan Krastev, Mark Leonard
- Policy Brief
Citizens of global powers are upbeat about a second Trump presidency – but this is by no means universal, particularly among traditional US allies
Big tech, Donald Trump, and “techno-imperialism”: How Europe can avoid becoming a digital colony
- José Ignacio Torreblanca
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
US tech giants are preparing to test the EU’s resolve, emboldened by support from the Trump administration. The EU will need to prepare itself for the inevitable clash to safeguard its democratic and technological future
Beyond the Panama Canal: The impact of Trump’s re-election for Latin America
- Víctor Muñoz
- Commentary
- 3 minute read
Trump’s “America First” rhetoric could significantly impact the region, potentially creating an opening for Europeans to strengthen their ties and influence there
In the new Trumpian era, liberal democracies must hold their noses—and engage with difficult partners
- Timothy Garton Ash
- Commentary
- View from the Council
- 4 minute read
New polling says much of the world will welcome Trump. Europe will need to be more transactional abroad—but less so at home
Upcoming events
Recent events
Africa amid global shifts: Balancing partnerships
- Anwar Gargash Diplomatic Academy, Abu Dhabi
Mark Leonard's World in 30 minutes
Election countdown: New Germany, new Europe, new podcast
- Podcast
- Mark Leonard's World in 30 minutes
Mark Leonard welcomes Jeremy Cliffe and Jana Puglierin to discuss ECFR’s new podcast mini-series, Searching for Deutschland
Searching for Deutschland
German leadership: Gone for good or just resting?
- Podcast
- Searching for Deutschland
Welcome to the inaugural episode of Searching for Deutschland, a new podcast by ECFR exploring the European and foreign policy dimensions of the German election…
Views from the Council
In the new Trumpian era, liberal democracies must hold their noses—and engage with difficult partners
- Timothy Garton Ash
- Commentary
- View from the Council
- 4 minute read
New polling says much of the world will welcome Trump. Europe will need to be more transactional abroad—but less so at home
What if Russia wins in Ukraine? We can already see the shadows of a dark 2025
- Timothy Garton Ash
- Commentary
- View from the Council
- 4 minute read
Instability is growing, Putin’s hybrid war in Europe is heating up, and for fear of escalation we have encouraged global nuclear proliferation
In the Media - Council
Mark Leonard, Ivan Krastev, and Timothy Garton Ash on the findings of the ECFR’s latest polling report
Mark Leonard, Timothy Garton Ash, and Ivan Krastev on ECRF’s last polling report
Mark Leonard, Ivan Krastev, and Timothy Garton Ash on ECFR’s latest global survey
Mark Leonard, Ivan Krastev, and Timothy Garton Ash on ECFR’s latest global survey
Featured and flagship projects
Countdown to Trump
What would a Trump win mean for transatlantic relations? Would a Harris presidency mark another, different sort of turning point? What can – and should – a Europe with less US mean?
Defending Europe with less America
- Camille Grand
Re:Engage
This project helps the EU in refining its foreign policy, re-engaging neighbours post-Russia's invasion of Ukraine to bolster regional resilience and advance enlargement policies.
The interest of values: The EU’s democracy promotion in the Western Balkans and the eastern neighbourhood
- Piotr Buras, Marie Dumoulin, Tefta Kelmendi, Marlene Marx
Re:Order
Re:Order project explores emerging visions of the global order, as well as the interplay between economic might and geopolitical influence.
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A security-development mission: How Europe can support the Ethiopia-Somalia trade corridor
- Corrado Čok
- Commentary
- 5 minute read
Europe can help stabilise the Horn of Africa with a daunting project: a commercial corridor in Somalia that allows Ethiopia access to the sea
Stand by me: Why EU trade actions need member-state consensus
- Alberto Rizzi
- Policy Alert
- 2 minute read
Since Donald Trump’s re-election, the EU has been remarkably active on the trade scene. The bloc’s member state capitals must commit to future deals to ensure that talks are followed by implementation
Moscow’s mind games: Ambiguity around Russia’s nukes aims to rattle Europe
- Rafael Loss
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
Vladimir Putin’s rhetoric and missile strikes are part of a broader strategy of cognitive warfare, blending military power with psychological intimidation. His manipulative messaging aims to rattle NATO’s resolve and create uncertainty in Europe’s response
Why Europeans, Arab states and the Trump administration must work together to ensure a sustainable Gaza ceasefire
- Hugh Lovatt, Muhammad Shehada
- Policy Alert
- 2 minute read
Israel and Hamas have finally reached a ceasefire deal to end the war in Gaza. Europeans must now work with the incoming Donald Trump administration and Arab partners to secure Palestinian self-determination
Britain’s risky re-engagement: Why its China policy could strain the EU-UK reset
- Byford Tsang
- Policy Alert
- 1 minute read
British chancellor Rachel Reeves’s visit to Beijing over the weekend shows the Labour government’s willingness to re-engage with China. But this strategy could strain Britain’s relationship with the EU
Greenland with envy: How Europeans should respond to Trump’s obsession
- Katrine Westgaard
- Policy Alert
- 2 minute read
Donald Trump is obsessed with buying Greenland. Europeans should not succumb to his bullying but demonstrate to the future US president that they can and will provide security in the Arctic
Our experts are available for media requests. Our work involves many issues relating to Europe and foreign policy, and our programmes focus on Africa, Asia, the Middle East & North Africa, and Wider Europe.
Mark Leonard, Ivan Krastev, and Timothy Garton Ash on the findings of the ECFR’s latest polling report
More on Africa
Rules of entry: Cooperative pathways for Europe and Africa on critical minerals
- Theophilus Acheampong
- Policy Brief
European countries want to secure supplies of African critical raw materials. To achieve this, they must increasingly meet locally set requirements that channel benefits into local economies in Africa
Why France should close its permanent military bases in Africa
- Will Brown, Suzanne Tisserand
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
Point-scoring over protection: How Russia’s politicking harms Sudanese civilians
- Jonas Horner
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
More on Asia
The idea of China
- Alicja Bachulska, Mark Leonard, Janka Oertel
- Book
China’s ideas could become the country’s next big export. The Idea of China examines Chinese thinking about global order, AI, demographic change, and more – and considers how these ideas could influence the world
Turmoil in Seoul: A potential setback for EU-South Korea security cooperation
- Alexander Lipke
- Policy Alert
- 2 minute read
When East meets West meets Trump’s America: European diplomacy in the Indo-Pacific
- James Crabtree, Alexander Lipke, Elli-Katharina Pohlkamp
- Commentary
- 8 minute read
More on European Power
Empowering Poland: The role of international partnerships
- Szymon Kardaś
- Policy Brief
To effectively transition to a low-carbon economy while bolstering energy security and economic stability, Poland is betting on cooperation with international partners
Drones in Ukraine: Four lessons for the West
- Ulrike Franke
- Commentary
- 5 minute read
Why the EU should pay attention to Italy’s and Albania’s migration gamble
- Arturo Varvelli, Angela Ziccardi
- Commentary
- 5 minute read
More on Middle East and North Africa
Dealing with Trump, Israel, and Hamas: The path to peace in the Middle East
- Hugh Lovatt, Muhammad Shehada
- Policy Brief
With a two-state solution at risk, Europeans must work closely with Arab states to bring the Israeli-Palestinian conflict to an end
How European leaders can support sustainable refugee returns in a post-Assad Syria
- Kelly Petillo
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
Trump’s return: A disaster for Gaza, a challenge for Europe
- Muhammad Shehada
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
More on United States
Trump’s tinderbox: US politics and the next war in the Balkans
- Adnan Ćerimagić, Majda Ruge
- Policy Brief
Serbian revisionism is on the march and would be greatly strengthened by a Trump win. The EU must prepare a deterrence plan — and take greater responsibility for Western Balkan security
Glitch in the matrix: How Europeans should respond to the Trump-Musk tech agenda
- José Ignacio Torreblanca, Giorgos Verdi
- Commentary
- 5 minute read
Transatlantic drift: UK-EU defence cooperation in the second Trump era
- Anand Sundar
- Commentary
- 5 minute read
More on Wider Europe
Farce then tragedy: Russian views of the West and what they mean for Ukraine
- Kadri Liik
- Policy Brief
How the Kremlin’s view of a declining US and a mercurial Europe shapes the prospects for a Trump-Putin deal
Cold calculations: Why a freezing Transnistria helps Moscow
- Andrew Wilson
- Policy Alert
- 2 minute read
What if Russia wins in Ukraine? We can already see the shadows of a dark 2025
- Timothy Garton Ash
- Commentary
- View from the Council
- 4 minute read