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The cross-Channel reset: Trump, Putin, and shifting EU-UK opinion
- Mark Leonard
- Policy Brief
Voters in both the UK and major EU states are open to compromise. Leaders on both sides of the Channel should use this political space for an ambitious reset
Dealing with Trump, Israel, and Hamas: The path to peace in the Middle East
- Hugh Lovatt, Muhammad Shehada
- Policy Brief
With a two-state solution at risk, Europeans must work closely with Arab states to bring the Israeli-Palestinian conflict to an end
How European leaders can support sustainable refugee returns in a post-Assad Syria
- Kelly Petillo
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
A rise in right-wing agendas in European politics is colliding with post-Assad refugee dilemmas for Syrians and the region. European leaders must navigate domestic pressures to support Syria’s transition in a constructive way and ensure voluntary, sustainable returns
Time is running out for the EU to help safeguard Georgia’s future
- Andrew Wilson
- Commentary
- 3 minute read
With Salome Zourabichvili set to be replaced in Saturday’s presidential elections, Georgian Dream will tighten its grip on power, leaving protestors with no institutional support
Upcoming events
Recent events
Taking stock of the Kosovo-Serbia dialogue process
- Embassy of the Federal Republic of Germany, 4645 Reservoir Road, NW, Washington, DC, 20007 USA
- ECFR Washington
Mark Leonard's World in 30 minutes
A fragmented world: Europe’s geoeconomic dilemmas
- Podcast
- Mark Leonard's World in 30 minutes
Mark Leonard welcomes Agathe Demarais and Abraham Newman to discuss how Europe can overcome its internal dysfunction to meet the geoeconomic challenges of today
ECFR on air
Saudi Arabia and Trump: What’s next for the Middle East
- Podcast
- ECFR on air
- WOMENP
Ellie Geranmayeh welcomes Dr. Manal Radwan to talk about the impact of Donald Trump’s election for the wars in the Middle East
Views from the Council
Trump’s return is terrible news for Ukraine. Europe should step into the breach – but will it?
- Timothy Garton Ash
- Commentary
- View from the Council
- 4 minute read
With Germany’s government collapsing and Europeans so divided in their response to Trump, unity is essential yet elusive
The next five years: How strong economic and trade alliances can prepare the EU for a post-America world
- Arancha González Laya
- Commentary
- View from the Council
- 4 minute read
Regardless of who wins the US presidential election, the European Union must shape its own future by fostering resilience, refining trade policies, and strengthening global partnerships to navigate shifting geopolitical winds
In the Media - Council
Karolina Wigura on the German government’s decision to reimpose checks at its borders
Lea Ypi on British interest in the migrant pact struck between Italy and Albania
Daniela Schwarzer discusses lessons Draghi’s report on competitiveness holds for Germany
Gerald Knaus criticises plans to turn away refugees at the German border
Featured and flagship projects
Countdown to Trump
What would a Trump win mean for transatlantic relations? Would a Harris presidency mark another, different sort of turning point? What can – and should – a Europe with less US mean?
Defending Europe with less America
- Camille Grand
Re:Engage
This project helps the EU in refining its foreign policy, re-engaging neighbours post-Russia's invasion of Ukraine to bolster regional resilience and advance enlargement policies.
The interest of values: The EU’s democracy promotion in the Western Balkans and the eastern neighbourhood
- Piotr Buras, Marie Dumoulin, Tefta Kelmendi, Marlene Marx
Re:Order
Re:Order project explores emerging visions of the global order, as well as the interplay between economic might and geopolitical influence.
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Glitch in the matrix: How Europeans should respond to the Trump-Musk tech agenda
- José Ignacio Torreblanca, Giorgos Verdi
- Commentary
- 5 minute read
Elon Musk and Donald Trump are setting out America’s new approach to digital technology—including social media and AI. The EU must understand their motivations and work with willing partners to curb negative influence in the global digital sphere
America first, Europe next: Trump will change dynamics in Western Balkan security
- Engjellushe Morina
- Commentary
- 6 minute read
With US involvement waning, Europe faces a critical test in securing the Western Balkans. Renewed EU commitment could transform its neighbourhood and bolster its security
Trump’s return: A disaster for Gaza, a challenge for Europe
- Muhammad Shehada
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
Pro-Israel hardliners dominate Trump’s new administration, leaving Palestinians with little hope for justice. European leaders can counterbalance this by supporting Palestinian self-determination and enforcing accountability
Riding the wave: How Albania can make the most of its EU moment
- Tefta Kelmendi, Gjergji Vurmo
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
Albania has begun talks to become an EU member state. Successful accession could restore credibility in the enlargement process for Western Balkan and eastern European candidate countries – while offering enhanced political and economic stability for Albania
Romania’s election crisis: A stark warning for NATO nations on Russian meddling
- Oana Popescu-Zamfir
- Policy Alert
- 2 minute read
Romanian institutions could have better protected the elections had they not underestimated the rise of the far right and tolerated radical and nationalist elements in their ranks
Open trade, open minds: Why opposing the Mercosur trade deal would hurt the EU
- Alberto Rizzi
- Policy Alert
- 1 minute read
An agreement between the EU and the Mercosur trade bloc promises an 800-million-person market and reduced tariffs. Yet political fears in Europe threaten to derail the landmark deal, jeopardising global alliances and the EU’s position as a leader in multilateral trade
Our experts are available for media requests. Our work involves many issues relating to Europe and foreign policy, and our programmes focus on Africa, Asia, the Middle East & North Africa, and Wider Europe.
In her op-ed, Agathe Demarais argues that a second Trump presidency could exacerbate divisions within the EU
Julien Barnes-Dacey on the EU’s contribution to the formation of an inclusive government in Syria
More on Africa
Material world: How Europe can compete with China in the race for Africa’s critical minerals
- Sarah Logan
- Policy Brief
The EU faces a massive uphill struggle to secure critical raw material supply chains – and its efforts may even be undermining the bloc’s de-risking objectives by indirectly helping Chinese companies
Point-scoring over protection: How Russia’s politicking harms Sudanese civilians
- Jonas Horner
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
Reste calme: Why Europeans should take a measured approach towards Trump in Africa
- Will Brown
- Commentary
- 5 minute read
More on Asia
The idea of China
- Alicja Bachulska, Mark Leonard, Janka Oertel
- Book
China’s ideas could become the country’s next big export. The Idea of China examines Chinese thinking about global order, AI, demographic change, and more – and considers how these ideas could influence the world
Turmoil in Seoul: A potential setback for EU-South Korea security cooperation
- Alexander Lipke
- Policy Alert
- 2 minute read
When East meets West meets Trump’s America: European diplomacy in the Indo-Pacific
- James Crabtree, Alexander Lipke, Elli-Katharina Pohlkamp
- Commentary
- 8 minute read
More on European Power
Energy Sovereignty Index: Gains, gaps, and the road ahead
- Szymon KardaÅ›
- Special
ECFR’s 2024 Energy Sovereignty Index shows both progress and persistent pitfalls on the EU’s path to energy independence, efficiency, and cleanness. While gains in renewable energy and efficiency are notable, the bloc’s heavy reliance on energy imports is a critical vulnerability
Keeping Paris in: How Europeans should respond to France’s political turmoil
- Camille Grand, Camille Lons, Pawel Zerka
- Policy Alert
- 2 minute read
Transatlantic drift: UK-EU defence cooperation in the second Trump era
- Anand Sundar
- Commentary
- 5 minute read
More on Middle East and North Africa
Mending fences: Europe’s stake in the Saudi-Iran detente
- Julien Barnes-Dacey, Cinzia Bianco
- Policy Brief
Saudi-Iran diplomacy offers a rare path to prevent deepening conflict in the Middle East and support regional stability. Europeans should see this diplomacy as a chance to address their core interests, and not just as Iran’s attempt to bypass Western pressure
Back to the battlefield: A new chapter in Syria’s civil war
- Julien Barnes-Dacey
- Policy Alert
- 2 minute read
Avoiding the next front: Iraq’s fight to stay out of the Israel-Iran conflict
- Hamzeh Hadad
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
More on United States
Trump’s tinderbox: US politics and the next war in the Balkans
- Adnan Ćerimagić, Majda Ruge
- Policy Brief
Serbian revisionism is on the march and would be greatly strengthened by a Trump win. The EU must prepare a deterrence plan — and take greater responsibility for Western Balkan security
Transatlantic drift: UK-EU defence cooperation in the second Trump era
- Anand Sundar
- Commentary
- 5 minute read
Touching the void: Human rights in foreign policy under Trump 2.0
- Mireia Faro Sarrats
- Commentary
- 6 minute read
More on Wider Europe
The interest of values: The EU’s democracy promotion in the Western Balkans and the eastern neighbourhood
- Piotr Buras, Marie Dumoulin, Tefta Kelmendi, Marlene Marx
- Policy Brief
With EU enlargement back on the agenda, democracy promotion in candidate countries is a key geopolitical interest for the bloc. The EU’s previous efforts to promote democracy in the Western Balkans and eastern neighbourhood may hold valuable lessons for the years ahead
On the rocks: How the EU can keep Georgia’s European future alive
- Tefta Kelmendi
- Policy Alert
- 2 minute read
Staying power: Securing peace in Ukraine while balancing European interests
- Marie Dumoulin, Camille Grand
- Commentary
- 6 minute read