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Highlights

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Latest

Why Russia could invade Ukraine again

Gustav Gressel

Why connectivity can strengthen European sovereignty

Miguel Berger

Featured

  • Middle East and North Africa

Part of the problem: A better European approach to human rights in the Middle East and North Africa

James Lynch Special

European states face accusations of neglecting the matter of human rights in their southern neighbourhood, and even of being complicit. Yet they are failing to maximise the influence they could bring to bear.

9 Dec

Annual Council Meeting 2021

9 December 2021 ECFR Berlin

ECFR’s Council Members – Europe’s leading decision-makers, opinion-shapers, and public intellectuals – will gather together on 9-10 December in Berlin for ECFR’s Annual Council Meeting to connect and discuss the myriad issues facing Europe and the European Union today

  • Wider Europe

The young and the restless: Europe, Russia, and the next generation of diplomats in the Eastern Partnership

Joanna Hosa, Tefta Kelmendi, Pavel Slunkin Policy Brief

Young diplomats in Eastern Partnership countries are optimistic and pro-European. Many of them want the EU to become a bolder geopolitical actor.

  • Wider Europe

Russia’s military movements: What they could mean for Ukraine, Europe, and NATO

Gustav Gressel Commentary 5 minute read

Russia is mobilising its forces, but much more covertly than in the past. Moscow’s belief that the EU and US will not step in to protect Ukraine could lead it to take direct military action.

Upcoming events

6 Dec

Defence of Europe: How much autonomy can the EU afford?

6 December 2021 Online ECFR Paris, ECFR Warsaw
7 Dec

The European Green Deal: A recipe for development or a source of conflict?

7 December 2021 Online ECFR Warsaw

Podcasts

Cover image of the World in 30 minutes podcast

Syria’s war, Europe’s problem

What does the re-engagement of regional actors mean for the future of Syria? And what role can Europe play to create breathing space in the country?

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Featured projects

European Sovereignty

To prosper and maintain their independence in a world of geopolitical competition, the EU needs to learn to think like a geopolitical power

Featured

Sovereign Europe, dangerous world: Five agendas to protect Europe’s capacity to act

Mark Leonard, Jeremy Shapiro

Re:shape Global Europe

The project strives to engage citizens across Europe and generate a wide debate about the purpose of European power in the twenty-first century

Featured

Crisis of confidence: How Europeans see their place in the world

Susi Dennison, Jana Puglierin

Public opinion polling

Through polling in EU member states, ECFR’s analysis seeks to unlock shifting coalitions in Europe that favour a more internationally engaged union

Featured

Europe’s invisible divides: How covid-19 is polarising European politics

Ivan Krastev, Mark Leonard

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Latest

  • Wider Europe

Why Russia could invade Ukraine again

Gustav Gressel Commentary 6 minute read

Many European leaders do not seem to grasp the seriousness of this moment in the Ukrainian conflict. Unless the West makes a greater effort to counter Russian military coercion, there is no guarantee that Russia will stop with Ukraine.

  • European Power

Why connectivity can strengthen European sovereignty

Miguel Berger Commentary 5 minute read

The European Union is a success story of economic integration and interconnection. Europe can draw on this experience to become a leader and sought-after partner in fair connectivity worldwide.

  • Africa

Russia, Wagner Group, and Mali: How European fears weaken European policy

Andrew Lebovich Commentary 7 minute read

Europeans reacted sharply to the news of Wagner Group’s interest in Mali – and interviews suggest the company has been present in the country. But European states and the EU remain the dominant security and development player in the Sahel.

  • Wider Europe

Small victories: Why US-Russia relations could improve under Biden

Andrey Baklitskiy Commentary 4 minute read

The Biden administration’s approach to Nord Stream 2 indicates that it could ease the pressure on Russia in some of the most important spheres. But a new crisis could quickly lead to a new low in US-Russia relations.

  • Asia

European trade and strategy in the Indo-Pacific: Why the EU should join the CPTPP

Frédéric Grare, Patrick Allard Commentary 4 minute read

The EU’s strongest asset remains trade. If it makes the most of this, it could prove highly welcome to Indo-Pacific countries considering China’s application to join the regional CPTPP trade agreement.

  • European Power

How the German “traffic light” coalition can solve the EU border crisis

Piotr Buras Note from Berlin 4 minute read

Germany’s new government could defuse the conflict between Poland and Belarus by demonstrating greater toughness on Lukashenka and showing willingness to accept a limited number of migrants. And the EU should be ready to use its most effective weapon: trade.

In the media

Our experts are available for media requests. Our work involves many issues relating to Europe and foreign policy, and our programmes focus on Africa, Asia, the Middle East & North Africa, and Wider Europe.

All our experts Newsroom
Rather than eliminating tensions between countries, connectivity offers new means of competing and engaging in conflict
Mark Leonard
ASPI – Australian Strategic Policy Institute 2 December 2021

Mark Leonard writes about connectivity wars

They tried to cover it up in the coalition agreement, but the text remains very open
Jana Puglierin
Tagesschau.de 2 December 2021

Jana Puglierin sees conflict potential between the three “traffic light” parties on fundamental EU issues

The policy of remaining neutral and avoiding tough solutions to Europe’s predicaments does not seem to be a viable approach to the challenges ahead
EuroActiv 1 December 2021

Jana Puglierin and Piotr Buras’s “Beyond Merkelism” policy brief is quoted by EuroActiv

If Europe is to maintain this stance, it will have to urgently find ways to square the circle of maintaining fidelity to democracy and healing the split between the prime minister and protest movement
Theodore Murphy
Politico 1 December 2021

Theodore Murphy’s recent commentary on Sudan’s new political agreement is quoted by Politico

More on Africa

Mapping African regional cooperation: How to navigate Africa’s institutional landscape

Amandine Gnanguênon Policy Brief

Regional organisations have proliferated in Africa, with many organisations attempting to address similar issues in similar parts of the continent. Europeans should take stock of the situation they have helped create.


Sudan coup attempt: How Europe can defend Sudan’s transition to democracy

Theodore Murphy Commentary 3 minute read

The EU’s Global Gateway and a new foundation for partnerships in Africa

, with Theodore Murphy Michaël Tanchum Commentary 3 minute read

More on Asia

What Europeans think about the US-China Cold War

Ivan Krastev, Mark Leonard Policy Brief

A majority of European citizens believe a new cold war with both China and Russia is under way – but they mostly do not think that their own country is involved


Trumpism by another name: What AUKUS tells us about US policy in the Indo-Pacific

Frédéric Grare Commentary 4 minute read

Tough dove: Japan’s China policy under its next leader

Elli-Katharina Pohlkamp Commentary 4 minute read

More on European Power

Climate of cooperation: How the EU can help deliver a green grand bargain

Alex Clark, Susi Dennison, Mats Engström Policy Brief

The bloc should reframe the international debate on energy security to focus on clean energy resources and efficiency, engaging in the market reforms needed to incentivise this shift


France’s presidential election: How the far-right could win

Pawel Zerka Note from Paris 6 minute read

Autocratic power grab is no defence of sovereignty

Piotr Buras Commentary 3 minute read

More on Middle East and North Africa

Power play: Europe’s climate diplomacy in the Gulf

Cinzia Bianco Policy Brief

If the EU is to achieve its climate and geopolitical goals, it will need to substantially increase its engagement with Gulf states on the European Green Deal


Sharp relief: Automatic benefits and the Iran nuclear deal

Esfandyar Batmanghelidj Commentary 2 minute read

Iraq election: How a failed assassination attempt could break the political deadlock

Nussaibah Younis Commentary 3 minute read

More on Wider Europe

Waves of ambition: Russia’s military build-up in Crimea and the Black Sea

Gustav Gressel Policy Brief

Russia’s capacity to carry out large-scale military operations against Black Sea states allows it to coerce and extort them


Democratic renewal in Europe: Bulgaria joins a growing trend

Vessela Tcherneva Commentary 3 minute read

Western Balkans in trouble: Why the EU should make a new offer to the region

Vessela Tcherneva Commentary 5 minute read

Views from the Council

Business and religion in the metaverse

Andrés Ortega Klein View from the Council 4 minute read

The new reality that Facebook and other companies are building brings immense possibilities but also dangers. It is a business with religious overtones.


Covid bereavement as a European experience

Jaroslaw Kuisz, Karolina Wigura View from the Council 4 minute read

Europe’s post-Afghanistan to-do list

Arancha González Laya View from the Council 4 minute read
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