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Highlights

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Latest

Policy Alert (1)

Global aid after Trump’s exit: How Europe can lead reform and head off Russia and China

  • Nele Anders
Trump Meeting With Zelensky and European Leaders

Decision time for Europe

  • Mark Leonard

Featured

Silhouette of a person walking on a European Union flag symbolizing political and economic uncertainty

Why Europeans should DARE* to make New Year’s resolutions 

  • Janka Oertel, Nina Schmelzer
  • Commentary
  • 5 minute read

As 2026 begins with a bang, Europeans are well-advised to reframe de-risking as re-engagement, unleash the single energy market and focus on electrification

567256343

Trump strikes Venezuela: Three conclusions for Europe

  • Carl Bildt
  • Commentary
  • View from the Council
  • 3 minute read

Trump’s military action in Venezuela highlights America’s hemispheric turn, its disregard for international law and the president’s growing reliance on force. Europe faces tough choices to defend its interests

SOLD OUT

2026: The year we stop pretending it’s just a phase

  • Mark Leonard, Jeremy Shapiro, Anand Sundar
  • Commentary
  • 4 minute read

Ten key foreign policy trends for the year ahead

Policy alert
FRANCE POLITICS DIPLOMACY COALITION SUMMIT ELYSEE

Peace with teeth: What Britain and France’s troop commitment means for Ukraine

  • Leo Litra
  • Policy Alert
  • 2 minute read

Britain and France have committed to deploying their armies on the ground in Ukraine. This is one step towards providing the robust security guarantees the country needs to deter future Russian aggression

Upcoming events

15 Jan

The World in 2026: Global Public Opinion One Year into the Second Trump Presidency

  • 15 January 2026 Online
16 Jan

Europe Debates | Russia won’t attack NATO

  • 16 January 2026 Online · ECFR Berlin

Recent events

12 Dec

Climate realism: Rethinking EU–South Africa engagement after COP30 and the G20 Summit

  • 12 December 2025 Online
10 Dec

Navigating multipolarity: Angola’s middle power ambitions

  • 10 December 2025 Online

Mark Leonard's World in 30 minutes

The world in 2026

  • Podcast
  • Mark Leonard's World in 30 minutes

Mark Leonard welcomes Julien Barnes-Dacey, Jana Kobzová, Andrew Small and Alex Vines to discuss upcoming political changes in 2026

Listen

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Re Engage website

Trust, anger and the limits of EU democracy promotion 

  • Podcast
  • ECFR on air
  • The Neighbourhood

Jessica Hendrick is joined by Morten Bøås to go inside RE-ENGAGE’s fieldwork across six EU candidate countries—revealing what citizens actually trust, why anger matters more than apathy and what Brussels keeps getting wrong about democracy promotion

Listen

Views from the Council

567256343

Trump strikes Venezuela: Three conclusions for Europe

  • Carl Bildt
  • Commentary
  • View from the Council
  • 3 minute read

Trump’s military action in Venezuela highlights America’s hemispheric turn, its disregard for international law and the president’s growing reliance on force. Europe faces tough choices to defend its interests

Russian invasion of Ukraine

Only Europe can save Ukraine from Putin and Trump—but will it?

  • Timothy Garton Ash
  • Commentary
  • View from the Council
  • 4 minute read

Whether using frozen Russian assets, ramping up defence production or deepening the relationship with the EU, it is up to us to secure Ukraine’s future—and our own

In the Media - Council

Carl Bildt
Sydsvenskan 6 January 2026

Carl Bildt on the potential for a military intervention by Trump against Greenland

Carl Bildt
Dagens Nyheter 6 January 2026

Carl Bildt on the Trump’s obsession with the Western Hemisphere and his  willingness to assert power over Greenland

Carl Bildt
Dagens industri 6 January 2026

Carl Bildt on the seriousness of the US’s threat against Greenland and the necessity for Europe to arm itself

Carl Bildt
Expressen 6 January 2026

Carl Bildt warns of the potential for a brute-force conflict with the US over Greenland

Featured and flagship projects

The Data Collection

Explore our open-access data platform for unparalleled access to ECFR’s public opinion polls—empowering research and insight on today’s key foreign policy issues.

Featured
Trump Shadow 2

Transatlantic twilight: European public opinion and the long shadow of Trump

  • Jana Puglierin, Arturo Varvelli, Pawel Zerka

Re:Engage

This project helps the EU in refining its foreign policy, re-engaging neighbours post-Russia's invasion of Ukraine to bolster regional resilience and advance enlargement policies.

Featured
EU Flags hanging from the queue barriers during the Open Doors Day

The interest of values: The EU’s democracy promotion in the Western Balkans and the eastern neighbourhood

  • Piotr Buras, Marie Dumoulin, Tefta Kelmendi, Marlene Marx

Re:Order

Re:Order project explores emerging visions of the global order, as well as the interplay between economic might and geopolitical influence.

Featured

Re:Order: The world after the West | podcast series

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Latest

Policy Alert (1)

Global aid after Trump’s exit: How Europe can lead reform and head off Russia and China

  • Nele Anders
  • Article
  • 2 minute read

President Donald Trump’s withdrawal of the US from international organisations presents an opportunity to Europe to lead on global aid reform

Trump Meeting With Zelensky and European Leaders

Decision time for Europe

  • Mark Leonard
  • Commentary
  • 3 minute read

Given the Trump administration’s recent statements and policy pronouncements, European leaders no longer have any excuse for failing to map out their own long-term security strategy. If they can get their act together on ending the Ukraine war, they will gain a much stronger position on other key fronts, too

US President Donald Trump

Venezuela, Trump’s “Donroe Doctrine” and three dilemmas facing Europe

  • Aslı Aydıntaşbaş, Chris Herrmann
  • Commentary
  • 2 minute read

The American capture of Maduro is a signal event in world geopolitics. Europeans must confront three immediate dilemmas

EU Western Balkans Summit in Belgium

The next ‘big bang’: How the EU can fast-track enlargement amid geopolitical tensions

  • Vladimir Shopov
  • Commentary
  • 3 minute read

Quickly bringing in the Western Balkan candidates, Ukraine and Moldova to counter Russia or China poses many dilemmas for the EU

Donald Trump receives Viktor Orban

The Orbanisation of American media is here

  • Chris Herrmann
  • Commentary
  • 4 minute read

Hungary’s media landscape exists in a grey zone, where journalism’s boundaries are set by the whims of regulatory power. Under Trump, America is heading in the same direction

Taiwan Defense

Clumsy ships, big risks: China’s evolving maritime playbook

  • Estelle Huang
  • Commentary
  • 5 minute read

China’s maritime grey-zone activities threaten Taiwan’s and Europe’s security. Europeans need to work with Indo-Pacific partners to expose and counter China’s evolving tactics

In the media

Our experts are available for media requests. Our work involves many issues relating to Europe and foreign policy, and our programmes focus on Africa, Asia, the Middle East & North Africa, and Wider Europe.

All our experts Newsroom
Agathe Demarais
Formiche 12 January 2026

Agathe Demarais on the approval of the EU-Mercosur agreement

Elli-Katharina Pohlkamp
Avvenire 12 January 2026

The commentary “Managing a rivalry: the latest Japan-China escalation and what Europe can do” by Elli-Katharina Pohlkamp quoted by Avvenire

Arturo Varvelli
Radio Deejay 12 January 2026

Arturo Varvelli on Giorgia Meloni’s position on Venezuela and Greenland

Giorgos Verdi
CNN 12 January 2026

Giorgos Verdi on the need for European innovator to emerge for its own technologies and reduce its reliance on the US

Alex Vines
GBN 12 January 2026

Alex Vines on the upcoming elections in Africa, as well as the prospects for geopolitical tensions and opportunities

Agathe Demarais
Foreign Policy 12 January 2026

Agathe Demarais on the three possible retaliatory measures that Trump could take against the EU due to its high trade deficit

More on Africa

Skyline of Luanda, Angola, Africa

Middle power dreaming: The geopolitics of Angola’s emergence

  • Alex Vines
  • Policy Brief

Angola is increasingly active in the world. Here is how Europeans can cooperate with this rising middle power


Caught in the Corridor: Angola, Europe and America

  • Alex Vines
  • Commentary
  • 4 minute read

When the army comes knocking: Benin’s failed coup and West African instability

  • Suzanne Tisserand
  • Policy Alert
  • 2 minute read

More on Asia

Taiwan National Day

The Taiwan test: Why Europe should help deter China

  • Estelle Huang
  • Policy Brief

China’s military capabilities are growing and its actions in Europe are becoming more disruptive. The EU should support Taiwan with dual-use technologies and defence cooperation to send a clear signal to Beijing


Managing a rivalry: The latest Japan-China escalation and what Europe can do

  • Elli-Katharina Pohlkamp
  • Commentary
  • 5 minute read

What Chinese leaders really think of Trump

  • Mark Leonard
  • Commentary
  • 3 minute read

More on European Power

EU Tech Stack Presentation

Get over your X: A European plan to escape American technology

  • Giorgos Verdi
  • Policy Brief

Foreign technology companies cannot be entrusted with meeting Europe’s growing digital needs. This includes American big tech firms. Here’s what Europeans should do


Seven things to know about the EU’s €90bn loan to Ukraine

  • Agathe Demarais
  • Commentary
  • 4 minute read

Why Trump’s National Security Strategy is a geoeconomic trap for Europe 

  • Célia Belin, Majda Ruge
  • Commentary
  • 5 minute read

More on European Security

Pro Russian leaders protest as Pro EU party secures majority in Moldova

Accelerate the accessions: Why faster is better in EU enlargement policy

  • Engjellushe Morina
  • Policy Brief

The Ukraine war has revived EU enlargement for Albania, Moldova, Montenegro and Ukraine, but they face obstacles. Accelerating membership for these frontrunners would unlock the process before rivals can take advantage


Ukrainian border, Balkan future: How Trump’s peace deal could impact Kosovo and Serbia

  • Engjellushe Morina
  • Commentary
  • 5 minute read

Bromance in Belarus: What Europeans need to know about the Trump-Lukashenka team-up

  • Vasil Navumau
  • Commentary
  • 4 minute read

More on Middle East and North Africa

Photo-illustration depicting Palestinian Authority president Mahmoud Abbas and Israeli prime minister Binyamin Netanyahu | By Portia Kentish for ECFR

Averting West Bank collapse: How to revive Palestinian politics

  • Hugh Lovatt, Tahani Mustafa
  • Policy Brief

Hollowed out by violent Israeli control and Mahmoud Abbas’s personal rule, the Palestinian Authority is losing its grip on the West Bank. European and Arab states must intervene to rebuild legitimate governance and keep Palestinian self-determination alive


Taming Trump’s Gaza plan: A European-Arab initiative for lasting peace

  • Beth Oppenheim
  • Commentary
  • 5 minute read

Trump’s AI thaw: How Europe and the Gulf can protect against American and Chinese tech pressure

  • Cinzia Bianco, Herman Quarles van Ufford
  • Commentary
  • 5 minute read

More on United States

BearInBaltics update

The bear in the Baltics: Reassessing the Russian threat in Estonia

  • Jennifer Kavanagh, Jeremy Shapiro
  • Policy Brief

While Estonia’s geography makes it vulnerable to a Russian invasion, it is also protected due to weakened Russian capabilities, stronger European defence cooperation and its own preparedness. NATO’s European members should be reassured but not complacent


Why Trump’s National Security Strategy is a geoeconomic trap for Europe 

  • Célia Belin, Majda Ruge
  • Commentary
  • 5 minute read

Europeans can’t let Trump define what it means to be European

  • Pawel Zerka
  • Policy Alert
  • 2 minute read
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