
Highlights
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Multi-Pole-arity: How Poland can help Europe think big on China
- Alicja Bachulska
- Policy Brief
Beijing’s economic policies are threatening European competitiveness and economic security at a time when Europe cannot afford to be vulnerable. Poland can use its growing leadership role in the EU to help guide the bloc’s response

When culture war and trade war clash: Trump’s troubled alliance with Europe’s far right
- Jeremy Shapiro, Zsuzsanna Végh
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
The Trump administration and far-right European politicians see an opportunity to transform the EU from within. In turn, liberal Europeans have an opportunity to undermine this transatlantic alliance—before it gathers real momentum

Wartime mindset: Russia’s terror in Sumy requires a targeted European response
- Lesia Ogryzko
- Policy Alert
- 2 minute read
Despite recent ceasefire talks, Putin’s programme of terror in Ukraine continued with a Palm Sunday attack on Sumy. Europeans need to maintain a “wartime mindset” and persuade the US that Russia’s hostility is not at an end

Brussels hold’em: European cards against Trumpian coercion
- Tobias Gehrke
- Policy Brief
Faced with an aggressive United States, Europe has more leverage than it realises. Across trade, technology, infrastructure, finance and people-to-people relations it has ways of retaliating
Mark Leonard's World in 30 minutes

From Brexit to breakthrough? The future of EU-UK cooperation
- Podcast
- Mark Leonard's World in 30 minutes
Mark Leonard welcomes Mujtaba Rahman to unpack the evolving EU-UK relationship and explore what’s at stake for security, trade, and Europe’s future
Mark Leonard's World in 30 minutes

Erdogan’s crackdown: Turkey and the fight for democracy
- Podcast
- Mark Leonard's World in 30 minutes
Mark Leonard welcomes Aslı Aydıntaşbaş to unpack the recent political upheaval in Turkey and its broader geopolitical implications
Views from the Council

Untying the Hungarian knot: Why the EU might stop spoiling the spoiler state
- Tibor Dessewffy
- Commentary
- View from the Council
- 4 minute read
Orban’s latest defiance of EU values—the banning of Pride—comes as Hungary’s economy flails, the opposition gains, and Washington will no longer oppose. It could be the push the EU needs to figure out how to work around Budapest

As Trump and Putin menace Europe, I say this: Vive le Churchillo-Gaullisme!
- Timothy Garton Ash
- Commentary
- View from the Council
- 4 minute read
Our continent must be prepared to defend itself, by combining the best of its two most influential traditions
In the Media - Council
Carl Bildt on Ukraine imposed sanctions on former president and opposition politician Petro Poroshenko
Mark Leonard, Ivan Krastev, and Timothy Garton Ash on ECFR’s latest global survey
Mark Leonard, Ivan Krastev, and Timothy Garton Ash on ECFR’s latest global survey
Mark Leonard, Timothy Garton Ash and Ivan Krastev on ECFR’s latest global survey on Trump’s return to the White House
Featured and flagship projects
Public opinion polling
Through polling in EU member states, ECFR’s analysis seeks to unlock shifting coalitions in Europe that favour a more internationally engaged union.

Transatlantic twilight: European public opinion and the long shadow of Trump
- Jana Puglierin, Arturo Varvelli, Pawel Zerka
Re:Engage
This project helps the EU in refining its foreign policy, re-engaging neighbours post-Russia's invasion of Ukraine to bolster regional resilience and advance enlargement policies.

The interest of values: The EU’s democracy promotion in the Western Balkans and the eastern neighbourhood
- Piotr Buras, Marie Dumoulin, Tefta Kelmendi, Marlene Marx
Re:Order
Re:Order project explores emerging visions of the global order, as well as the interplay between economic might and geopolitical influence.

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Back from the brink: How European support could prevent another Ethiopia-Eritrea war
- Corrado ÄŒok
- Commentary
- 6 minute read
Relations between Ethiopia and Eritrea have soured since the war in Tigray ended in 2022. The region is now a tinderbox for conflict: Europeans need to intervene and pull the various opposing factions back from the brink

Pendulum policy: Why Meloni keeps swinging between Brussels and Washington
- Arturo Varvelli
- Commentary
- 3 minute read
Giorgia Meloni is walking a diplomatic tightrope between Brussels and a resurgent, Trump-led Washington. Her White House visit reveals a prime minister striving to keep doors open on both sides of the Atlantic—while navigating domestic pressure, transatlantic trade friction and ideological fault lines within the EU

The other counter-offensive: Ukraine’s diplomatic push in Africa
- Suzanne Tisserand
- Commentary
- 5 minute read
Far away from the battlefronts in Ukraine, Russia has been busy charming African capitals to support its invasion. Ukraine is facing a harsh geopolitical awakening

Pragmatic partners: The EU’s new model for engagement with South Africa
- Maddalena Procopio
- Commentary
- 5 minute read
The EU and South Africa are fresh off the back of their first mutual summit in seven years. Pretoria remains committed to its policy of strategic ambiguity, while the EU took the chance to further its green and industrial ambitions via a new partnership model

Europe after the end of the liberal international order
- Mark Leonard
- Commentary
- 3 minute read
As Europeans rearm to confront Russian aggression, they also need to figure out how to survive in the age of “unpeace” that Donald Trump and other strongmen are ushering in. The old interdependencies that liberals took for granted no longer ensure peace, prosperity or stability

Stumbling blocs: Why the EU’s future security depends on successful enlargement
- Engjellushe Morina
- Commentary
- 7 minute read
Europe needs to strengthen its collective security in the face of a more volatile US, Russia and China. The EU’s successful streamlining of its accession process would secure the wider neighbourhood—and its geopolitical future
Our experts are available for media requests. Our work involves many issues relating to Europe and foreign policy, and our programmes focus on Africa, Asia, the Middle East & North Africa, and Wider Europe.
Tobias Gehrke on the fractured response of European member states following Trump’s trade tariffs
More on Africa

Diversification nations: The Gulf way to engage with Africa
- Maddalena Procopio, Corrado ÄŒok
- Policy Brief
The UAE, Saudi Arabia and Qatar are making geoeconomic inroads into sub-Saharan Africa, particularly in energy and climate. This could affect Europe’s African interests
US aid freeze: A catastrophe looming for the Horn of Africa
- Corrado ÄŒok
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
Pressure points: How Europeans could help avert a Third Congo War
- Will Brown
- Commentary
- 5 minute read
More on Asia

The idea of China
- Alicja Bachulska, Mark Leonard, Janka Oertel
- Book
China’s ideas could become the country’s next big export. The Idea of China examines Chinese thinking about global order, AI, demographic change, and more – and considers how these ideas could influence the world
Taiwan’s balancing act: Keeping the US in, China out, and domestic technology superior
- Camille Grand, Janka Oertel, Jana Puglierin
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
Polls, peril and partnership: Why South Korea and the EU are natural allies
- Alexander Lipke
- Commentary
- 6 minute read
More on European Power

Strength in members: How to rally EU enlargement for defence
- Gustav Gressel, Nicu Popescu
- Policy Brief
The EU’s accession process ignores defence while NATO cannot cover all the candidates. Tailored defence cooperation roadmaps offer a promising path to protect Europe’s periphery without NATO membership
Back to the future: How the EU can upgrade its AI Continent Action Plan
- Giorgos Verdi
- Policy Alert
- 2 minute read
Shallow seas and “shadow fleets”: Europe’s undersea infrastructure is dangerously vulnerable
- Lesia Ogryzko, Alberto Rizzi
- Commentary
- 3 minute read
More on Middle East and North Africa

The bear who came to tea: Russia, Libya and the Kremlin’s playbook for fragile states
- Tarek Megerisi
- Policy Brief
Russia’s re-entrenchment in Libya, Europe’s soft underbelly, offers profound lessons on how it exploits geopolitical instability—and how Europeans can push back
Israeli strikes have reignited Gaza—now Europeans must take action
- Hugh Lovatt, Muhammad Shehada
- Policy Alert
- 2 minute read
The road ahead: Six ways Europeans can urgently support a stable Syria
- Julien Barnes-Dacey
- Commentary
- 6 minute read
More on United States

The Orbanisation of America: Hungary’s lessons for Donald Trump
- Jeremy Shapiro, Zsuzsanna Végh
- Policy Brief
If Trump wins the US presidency, Republicans will likely adapt techniques refined in Viktor Orban’s Hungary as they return to power – with profound implications for both America and Europe
The art of the peace deal: What the Trump administration wants from the Russia-Ukraine negotiations
- Célia Belin, Chris Herrmann, Majda Ruge, Jeremy Shapiro
- Commentary
- 5 minute read
Letter from Washington: Why Trump won’t like Europe’s Ukraine plan
- Jeremy Shapiro
- Commentary
- Views from the Capitals
- 3 minute read
More on Wider Europe

Bridging the Bosphorus: How Europe and Turkey can turn tiffs into tactics in the Black Sea
- Mustafa Aydin, Aslı Aydıntaşbaş
- Policy Brief
After years of bickering, Europe and Turkey need each other more than ever. A security partnership in the Black Sea could be the first step toward a pragmatic, if uneasy, alliance to contain Russia
Why Russia’s actions pose a threat well beyond its neighbours
- Nicu Popescu
- Commentary
- 3 minute read
Putin in Kursk: The meaning of political theatre
- Kadri Liik
- Policy Alert
- 2 minute read