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Iran nuclear monthly monitor June update available

Latest

National Rejoin March in London

Beyond Brexit—and back to Europe

  • Mark Leonard
Dubrovnik, 28.04.2026 Summit of the Three Seas Initiative

Gas-lit: The Three Seas Initiative is out of step with a clean-energy future

  • Szymon Kardaś

Featured

Brexit wall poster 03 50

Brexit isn’t working: British voters are ready for a European future

  • Mark Leonard
  • Policy Brief

Ten years on from the referendum, the British electorate has moved on from its old divisions and—in a world of crisis—is embracing an ambitious move back towards the European Union

China EU swarm paper

The art of the swarm: Systemic rivalry with China on European terms

  • Andrew Small
  • Policy Brief

The EU can exploit its system to say no to China—now, and long into the future

BearBomba

The bear with the bomb: Russian nuclear coercion and the future of European deterrence

  • Rafael Loss, with Katrine Westgaard
  • Policy Brief

Russia is expanding its nuclear-capable, long-range weapon systems to press Europe and fracture NATO. Europeans need to plug the gaps in their nuclear capabilities and create a strategic deterrent that can function without US support

10

Sliding doors: One Trump crisis, two possible futures for Europe

  • Nevada Joan Lee
  • Policy Brief

The next Trump crisis will come. European governments facing American pressure will need to weigh the costs and benefits of their responses. Here are two scenarios to show what resistance costs, and why those costs are lower than they appear

Upcoming events

Recent events

17 Jun

Annual Council Meeting 2026

  • 17 June 2026 · ECFR Berlin
11 Jun

ECFR Scenario Game: Which MENA Region in 2030?

  • 11 June 2026 · ECFR Rome

Mark Leonard's World in 30 minutes

Podcast cover photo

Peace in the Middle East

  • Podcast
  • Mark Leonard's World in 30 minutes

Julien Barnes-Dacey welcomes Prince Faisal bin Farhan Al Saud to discuss how the recently inked US-Iran deal could deliver a more stable regional order

Listen

ECFR on air

Photo 2025 12 trust anger and the limits of eu democracy promotion

Moldova: The EU frontrunner outrunning Russia

  • Podcast
  • ECFR on air
  • The Neighbourhood

Jessica Hendrick is joined by Dumitru Alaiba and Maia Machavariani to explore why Moldova is one of Europe’s most closely watched test cases—and what the country’s latest developments reveal about its political direction

Listen

Views from the Council

Pro EU activists protest 2 in London, UK 08 Jan

If the UK wants to rejoin the European Union, it first needs to understand it

  • Timothy Garton Ash
  • Commentary
  • View from the Council
  • 4 minute read

A full return will require a marathon of democratic persuasion, on the continent as much as in Britain. For one side holds most of the cards

Slovakia Penal Code

Hungarian thaw, Slovak freeze: How the post-Orban era could chill relations on the Danube

  • Tomáš Valášek
  • Commentary
  • View from the Council
  • 4 minute read

The alliance between Viktor Orban and Robert Fico long kept Slovak-Hungarian tensions buried. But with Peter Magyar’s rise in Hungary and economic trouble at home, Fico may turn to anti-Hungarian nationalism in his re-election campaign

In the Media - Council

Onet 23 June 2026

Edwin Bendyk on the Ukraine Recovery Conference in Gdańsk

Polityka 19 June 2026

Edwin Bendyk on the future of Polish-Ukrainian relations

Die Presse 17 June 2026

Die Presse on ECFR’s Annual Council Meeting in Vienna

OKO.press 16 June 2026

Edwin Bendyk on the deteriorating Polish-Ukrainian relations

Featured and flagship projects

The Data Collection

Explore our open-access data platform for unparalleled access to ECFR’s public opinion polls—empowering research and insight on today’s key foreign policy issues.

Featured
Trump Shadow 2

Transatlantic twilight: European public opinion and the long shadow of Trump

  • Jana Puglierin, Arturo Varvelli, Paweł Zerka

Re:Engage

This project helps the EU in refining its foreign policy, re-engaging neighbours post-Russia's invasion of Ukraine to bolster regional resilience and advance enlargement policies.

Featured
EU Flags hanging from the queue barriers during the Open Doors Day

The interest of values: The EU’s democracy promotion in the Western Balkans and the eastern neighbourhood

  • Piotr Buras, Marie Dumoulin, Tefta Kelmendi, Marlene Marx

Re:Order

Re:Order project explores emerging visions of the global order, as well as the interplay between economic might and geopolitical influence.

Featured
Green transition world order

The electric endgame: Europe’s clean path out of vassalage

  • Alberto Rizzi

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Latest

National Rejoin March in London

Beyond Brexit—and back to Europe

  • Mark Leonard
  • Commentary
  • 3 minute read

Those who follow only intergovernmental negotiations or debates in the media might think that nothing has changed in the decade since the United Kingdom’s voters decided to leave the European Union. Yet new polling finds that large majorities on both sides of the English Channel now support re-engagement

Dubrovnik, 28.04.2026 Summit of the Three Seas Initiative

Gas-lit: The Three Seas Initiative is out of step with a clean-energy future

  • Szymon Kardaś
  • Commentary
  • 3 minute read

The Three Seas Initiative helped cut Europe’s dependence on Russian gas—but five of its nine flagship energy projects are still gas-related. The initiative should direct its new €2bn “fund of funds” towards building the clean-energy infrastructure that will outlast the gas era

Pro EU activists protest 2 in London, UK 08 Jan

If the UK wants to rejoin the European Union, it first needs to understand it

  • Timothy Garton Ash
  • Commentary
  • View from the Council
  • 4 minute read

A full return will require a marathon of democratic persuasion, on the continent as much as in Britain. For one side holds most of the cards

Policy alert
President Of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskiy During A Large Summary Press Conference In Kyiv

Twin track: How to move Ukraine’s EU accession along

  • Leo Litra
  • Policy Alert
  • 1 minute read

The lifting of the Hungarian veto opens up new opportunities for Ukraine’s and Moldova’s EU accession

Israeli Settlers Land Expansion Plan Masafer Yatta

Europeans don’t need consensus to challenge Israel and its settlements

  • Hugh Lovatt
  • Commentary
  • 5 minute read

Israel is accelerating its settler project and deepening conflict, frustrating many EU member states. The bloc should use its trade and financial tools to impose costs and secure a future for Palestinians

530945846

After Ukraine: The peace dividend Africa does not want

  • Will Brown, Lena Krause
  • Commentary
  • 3 minute read

The end of the Ukraine war would flood the global market with surplus weapons, fighters and drone expertise—much of which may end up making African conflicts deadlier. Governments in Africa and Europe should prepare now

In the media

Our experts are available for media requests. Our work involves many issues relating to Europe and foreign policy, and our programmes focus on Africa, Asia, the Middle East & North Africa, and Wider Europe.

All our experts Newsroom
Mark Leonard
eunews 25 June 2026

The ECFR policy brief Brexit isn’t working: British voters are ready for a European future by Mark Leonard, mentioned by EUnews

Tobias Gehrke
Financial Times 25 June 2026

Financial Times on Tobias Gehrke´s policy brief Brussels hold’em: European cards against Trumpian coercion 

Mark Leonard
L’Osservatore Romano 25 June 2026

The ECFR policy brief Brexit isn’t working: British voters are ready for a European future by Mark Leonard, mentioned by L’Osservatore Romano

Alberto Rizzi
Linkiesta 25 June 2026

Alberto Rizzi on Italy’s role leading the new EU submarine cable hub in the Mediterranean

Andrew Small
Formiche 23 June 2026

Andrew Small on the European Council as a test case for Europe’s China strategy

Agathe Demarais
FortuneItalia 23 June 2026

Agathe Demarais on why G7 promises on artificial intelligence will remain on paper

More on Africa

Hafen Rotterdam

The ammonia age: How Europe and Africa can steer global shipping to net zero

  • Sarah Logan
  • Policy Brief

The IMO’s Net-Zero Framework is critical for EU competitiveness and the clearest path to decarbonise shipping. African backing may prove decisive as American and Gulf pressure stalls progress


Lost in processing: Why ‘Made in Europe’ needs an Africa strategy

  • Sarah Logan, Maddalena Procopio
  • Commentary
  • 4 minute read

Europe, Mauritania and the Gulf states: Securing stability and growth in the Sahel

  • Corrado Čok
  • Commentary
  • 6 minute read

More on Asia

Binaercode und China Flagge auf Putzwand

Borrowed mouths and laundered messages: China’s influence playbook in Europe

  • Alicja Bachulska, Ivana Karásková, Konrad Szatters
  • Policy Brief

Chinese foreign manipulation and interference are rising in Europe. Five techniques feature in Beijing’s playbook, communicating messages about China’s place in the world and support for Russian positions. 


Trump in Beijing: Why the game stays the same for Europe

  • Andrew Small
  • Commentary
  • 3 minute read

Power couple: How South Korea fits in Europe’s battery strategy

  • Alexander Lipke, Jihye Yoo
  • Commentary
  • 5 minute read

More on European Power

Copy of Mitigate Deter Escalate

Mitigate, deter, escalate: Europe’s options against US economic coercion

  • Agathe Demarais, Tobias Gehrke, José Ignacio Torreblanca
  • Policy Brief

The US under Trump will seek new ways to coerce Europe economically. Here is how Europeans can resist the pressure and emerge stronger for it


Musk’s war on European democracy: How to open up X and fight back

  • José Ignacio Torreblanca
  • Policy Alert
  • 2 minute read

Why half-measures won’t solve Europe’s data-centre energy crisis

  • Mats Engström
  • Policy Alert
  • 2 minute read

More on European Security

European defence paper graphic

Making defence European again

  • Rafael Loss, Marta Prochwicz Jazowska, Jana Puglierin
  • Policy Brief

The Russian threat is not going away any time soon. To defend themselves without America’s help, Europeans need to pursue a new, distinctly European model of defence and deterrence


Combat lessons: What Europeans should learn from Ukraine

  • Nick Witney
  • Commentary
  • 4 minute read

Code, clouds, satellite: The defence layer Europe should not outsource

  • Ángel Melguizo, Víctor Muñoz
  • Commentary
  • 3 minute read

More on Middle East and North Africa

Iran nuclear monitor Month by month thumbnail image

Iran nuclear monitor: Month by month

  • Ellie Geranmayeh
  • Special

America and Israel have bombed Iran since 2025 to block Tehran’s path to nuclear weapons. ECFR’s interactive dashboard, updated monthly, assesses current evidence about Iran’s nuclear activities to determine which of six possible scenarios is most likely


Rescuing the Gaza ceasefire: What to do with Hamas’s weapons

  • Muhammad Shehada
  • Commentary
  • 8 minute read

Bypassing the straits: The India-Middle East-Europe corridor needs a wartime redesign

  • Cinzia Bianco, Arturo Varvelli
  • Commentary
  • 4 minute read

More on United States

Trump Meets Congo And Rwanda Officials Following Peace Agreement Washington

One battle after another: Factional struggles and the making of Trump’s foreign policy

  • Majda Ruge
  • Policy Brief

Trump’s foreign and security policy is the product of factional competition in the White House and a president fixated on short-term wins. Here’s how Europeans should come to terms with this new reality


As the US midterms loom, the Republican choice is surrender—or lose

  • Chris Herrmann, Nevada Joan Lee
  • Policy Alert
  • 2 minute read

The art of the off-ramp: How Europe can pressure Trump to end the war in Iran

  • Jeremy Shapiro
  • Commentary
  • 2 minute read
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