Middle East and North Africa

Libya after Haftar?

Haftar’s weakening position will have ramifications for the stability of Eastern Libya, the activities of regional states that have based their policy on him, and on the diplomatic efforts to unify Libya’s fragmented political and security actors

Will the US and Russia go to war over Syria?

The good news is that neither Washington nor Moscow sees the advantage of a showdown on Syria. The bad news is that the confrontation could still escalate. 

Syria strikes: in search of a strategy

It remains hard to see how this US administration will produce a wider strategy for Syria that both allows for meaningful impact and limits escalation.