Putin’s Minsk maskirovka: Will the West ‘capitulate’?
Zelensky and EU leaders want the Normandy summit to show they are giving diplomacy a chance. But the risk all lies on their side, not Putin’s
Archive
Open Skies: Trump’s next big blunder?
Partisan argument in Washington is helping undermine the Open Skies Treaty. The US could lose one of the most useful instruments in its relations with Russia.
Managed chaos: Russia’s deal with Turkey on northern Syria
Russia is now in charge of a multi-front war. It will need to manage relations between multiple local actors very carefully.
The authoritarian entente: Sino-Russian security cooperation
Sino-Russian arrangements for deepening cooperation on surveillance technology codify a process that has been going on for years
Ukraine prisoner swap: A sign of hope or desperation?
The West is drawing the wrong lessons from Ukraine’s exchange of prisoners with Russia. It now risks rushing Kyiv into an unstable ‘resolution’ to the conflict in Donbas
Emmanuel Macron’s very big idea on Russia
Negotiations with Russia over a new European security order would have huge – to many, alarming – implications for Ukraine, the EU, and the NATO alliance
Occupational hazards: The Russian military in Crimea
While its current disposition in Crimea is mainly defensive in nature, Russia's military build-up on the peninsula could soon turn the Black Sea region into a security black hole.
After Crimea: Does NATO have the means to defend Europe?
Military spending may now figure in public conversation about NATO. But the alliance, at 70 years old, still lacks military capabilities strong enough to protect Europe from Russia
Negative energy: Berlin’s Trumpian turn on Nord Stream 2
Berlin's handling of the controversial Nord Stream 2 project reveals double standards and neglect of the pipeline's security repercussions.
Russia, Germany, and the INF: Will Berlin break its silence?
Germany is not facing up to the INF challenge. If it does not take a lead, Russian nuclear superiority over Europe will soon be a done deal