New Atlanticism

Why China (probably) won’t go to trade war with America

The US protecting its own technology is not the same as a trade war. But were such a war to emerge, it may well be the apparently invulnerable Xi Jinping rather than the bullishly confident Donald Trump who finds his country worse off as a result

Will the US and Russia go to war over Syria?

The good news is that neither Washington nor Moscow sees the advantage of a showdown on Syria. The bad news is that the confrontation could still escalate. 

Syria strikes: in search of a strategy

It remains hard to see how this US administration will produce a wider strategy for Syria that both allows for meaningful impact and limits escalation. 

Trump-Kim: Reading through the liar’s poker

Each of the two has a personal and strategic interest in reaching an agreement. They can no longer stop the game that they have started.