Konstantin von Eggert, Commentator, Kommersant FM Radio (Moscow), Member of Chatham House
Jana Kobzova, ECFR, Policy Fellow & Wider Europe programme coordinator
Ben Judah, ECFR, Policy Fellow
Dimitar Bechev, Head of ECFR Sofia Office
Russia’s presidential elections on March 4th are more than just a rubber stamping of the country’s political system. The overall outcome – with only tame parties standing in opposition to Putin – is not in doubt, but the specific results may signal important changes in the big picture, compared to 2008. Putin would not be returning to the same Russia as when he last held the presidency: buffeted by economic turbulence and fearful of stagnation, Russia is now post-BRIC. It no longer believes it shares the same power-trajectory as Brazil, India and China; instead, it thinks it is in relative decline with the West.
The discussion draws on the new ECFR report: ‘Dealing with a post-BRIC Russia’ by Ben Judah, Jana Kobzova and Nicu Popescu. It looks at the domestic and foreign policy constraints on a post-BRIC Russia that will shape Putin’s next presidency and analyses how Europe should rethink its relationship with Moscow.
This event was organized with the kind cooperation of the Embassy of Poland in Bulgaria as well as the Polish Institute.