European security order on the brink: The Russia crisis and what next
West do prevent an aggression against Ukraine? What does Kyiv expect from the EU and NATO? What is the future of the European security order? What are the perspectives of the key EU member states and Ukraine?
- Włodzimierz Cimoszewicz, Member of the European Parliament, former Polish Prime Minister and Minister of Foreign Affairs
- Marie Dumoulin, Director, Wider Europe Programme, European Council on Foreign Relations
- Pavlo Klimkin, Director of the Program on European, Regional and Russian Studies, Ukrainian Institute for the Future, former Ukrainian Minister of Foreign Affairs
- Vygaudas Ušackas, Board Member, Avia Solutions Group; former Lithuanian Minister of Foreign Affairs
- Maciej Zakrocki, Journalist, TOK FM
The Russian military build-up on Ukraine’s border and the Kremlin’s political blackmail of NATO constitute the most dangerous security crisis in Europe this century. With the flurry of international talks having produced no breakthrough – so far Moscow has only made ultimatums, such as its demand that Ukraine should be permanently forbidden from joining NATO which is a non-starter – there are many indications that the crisis could yet escalate further. Russia is seemingly preparing for further aggression against Ukraine.
Meanwhile, the European security architecture is in tatters. Institutional arrangements that have been vital to the continent in the post-cold war era – such as the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty, other arms-control agreements, and the NATO-Russia Founding Act – now exist only on paper. The EU struggles to find a common line on how to approach the crisis. While Emmanuel Macron suggests that the EU member states should work on a proposal for a new European security order, many other leaders want to focus primarily on deterrence.
What can and should the West do prevent aggression against Ukraine? What does Kyiv expect from the EU and NATO? What is the future of the European security order? What are the perspectives of the key EU member states and Ukraine?
In this debate, Włodzimierz Cimoszewicz, Marie Dumoulin, Pavlo Klimkin and Vygaudas Ušackas will discuss possible scenarios and options for the West and comment on the ongoing developments.
Join the debate on the ECFR Warsaw Facebook or on the YouTube channel of the Batory Foundation.