Ukraine decides: the dust starts to settle

Yuliya Tymoshenko can hear the doors closing on her presidential bid, but Andrew Wilson doesn't think that means the Ukrainian elections have a final outcome just yet

Senior Policy Fellow

The dust is now starting to settle on the results of Ukraine’s first presidential election since the Orange revolution, and pressure is mounting on Yuliya Tymoshenko to give up.
With 99.95% of the vote counted, she is behind by 45.5% to 48.9%. Her indecisiveness on Monday spoke volumes: she called and
then cancelled two press conferences as her options narrowed. The OSCE
gave the vote a largely clean bill of health at its press conference, which was
then endorsed in a statement by Lady Ashton for the EU. Tymoshenko must have been able to hear the doors shutting from over in Kiev. 

Tymoshenko can still launch a legal process,
but it seems to have little chance of success. On the other hand, it might force
Yanukovych into private negotiations, as he is desperate for his presidency to
gain a legitimate start.

Some of Tymoshenko’s lieutenants, like Mykola
Tomenko, have already said now is the time to go into opposition. Except that
Tymoshenko is still prime minister. She can still threaten to block Yanukovych’s
every early move. She is probably parleying the price of her withdrawal.
Tymoshenko is once again expected to make a statement later today, but even that
could be delayed. The dust is settling, but that doesn’t mean the Ukrainian elections have a final outcome.

Andrew has been blogging throughout the Ukrainian elections. Catch the most recent update here

Listen to his special podcast interview with two eminent Ukrainians, Olexiy Haran and Mykola Ryabchuk, here 

For the press…Andrew is available for interviews. Click here for our press advisory.

 

The European Council on Foreign Relations does not take collective positions. ECFR publications only represent the views of its individual authors.

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Senior Policy Fellow

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