How Trump is making China great again—and what it means for Europe
A post-Western world is learning to love China, while Europeans are starting to fear America
Experts & Staff
Timothy Garton Ash
Professor of European Studies, University of Oxford
Biography
Timothy Garton Ash is a professor of European Studies emeritus in the University of Oxford and a Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution, Stanford University. A founding member of ECFR, he is the author, most recently, of Homelands: A Personal History of Europe. He writes a column on international affairs in the Guardian, which is widely syndicated in Europe, Asia and the Americas. He is an ECFR Council Member.
European Power
The World in 2026: Global Public Opinion One Year into the Second Trump Presidency
How do publics around the world view geopolitics one year into the second Trump presidency? ECFR’s 2024 polling revealed that many middle-power societies welcomed Trump’s return to the White House. Yet twelve months on, perceptions of power, polarity, and alignment have shifted towards a multipolar, post-Western world. On the day of the launch of ECFR’s fourth Global Public Opinion Survey, this webinar will reveal how publics across 21 countries including China, India, Turkey, Russia, the…
Only Europe can save Ukraine from Putin and Trump—but will it?
Whether using frozen Russian assets, ramping up defence production or deepening the relationship with the EU, it is up to us to secure Ukraine’s future—and our own
When Czech populists win, that’s nothing peculiarly “east European”. It’s the new normal of the Western world
The likely new government in Prague will add one more state opposed to the EU’s green deal, and migration and asylum pact
Americans have 400 days to save their democracy
I never thought I’d see fear spread so far and fast. Next year’s midterm elections are now crucial for the Democratic party—and for democrats everywhere
Britain is great at muddling through. But imagine if its leaders knew where they were heading
British prime minister Keir Starmer’s successful ‘reset’ with Europe highlights an underlying incoherence. The only rational long-term strategy is to rejoin the EU, but British politics is far removed from that
As Trump and Putin menace Europe, I say this: Vive le Churchillo-Gaullisme!
Our continent must be prepared to defend itself, by combining the best of its two most influential traditions
Germany can turbocharge Europe’s renewal—if it will only seize this moment
Three times in the postwar era Germany made strategic choices that benefited Europe—with the US at its side. Now it must do it in opposition to Trump
Trump’s senseless capitulation to Putin is a betrayal of Ukraine—and terrible dealmaking
As the US and its European allies head to the Munich security conference, Europe must learn from its tragic history and oppose appeasement
European Power
European views on a second Trump presidency: Time for pragmatism
The re-election of President Trump sent shockwaves across Europe and around the world. From a global perspective, Europeans are seemingly alone in their pessimism about a second Trump mandate compared to people in other countries around the world. But what does the picture look like if we zoom-in on Europe? This…
Publications
How Trump is making China great again—and what it means for Europe
A post-Western world is learning to love China, while Europeans are starting to fear America
Alone in a Trumpian world: The EU and global public opinion after the US elections
Citizens of global powers are upbeat about a second Trump presidency – but this is by no means universal, particularly among traditional US allies
Living in an à la carte world: What European policymakers should learn from global public opinion
A new global opinion poll for ECFR reveals that many people outside the West want Europe and the US in their lives for all they have to offer – but that does not translate into full political alignment. People instead prefer an a la carte arrangement, in which their governments pragmatically select their partners depending on the matter at hand
United West, divided from the rest: Global public opinion one year into Russia’s war on Ukraine
New polling for ECFR reveals the West is consolidating – while facing an increasingly post-Western world, in which powers such as India and Turkiye are readier than ever to act independently
Articles
Only Europe can save Ukraine from Putin and Trump—but will it?
Whether using frozen Russian assets, ramping up defence production or deepening the relationship with the EU, it is up to us to secure Ukraine’s future—and our own
When Czech populists win, that’s nothing peculiarly “east European”. It’s the new normal of the Western world
The likely new government in Prague will add one more state opposed to the EU’s green deal, and migration and asylum pact
Americans have 400 days to save their democracy
I never thought I’d see fear spread so far and fast. Next year’s midterm elections are now crucial for the Democratic party—and for democrats everywhere
Britain is great at muddling through. But imagine if its leaders knew where they were heading
British prime minister Keir Starmer’s successful ‘reset’ with Europe highlights an underlying incoherence. The only rational long-term strategy is to rejoin the EU, but British politics is far removed from that
As Trump and Putin menace Europe, I say this: Vive le Churchillo-Gaullisme!
Our continent must be prepared to defend itself, by combining the best of its two most influential traditions
Germany can turbocharge Europe’s renewal—if it will only seize this moment
Three times in the postwar era Germany made strategic choices that benefited Europe—with the US at its side. Now it must do it in opposition to Trump
Trump’s senseless capitulation to Putin is a betrayal of Ukraine—and terrible dealmaking
As the US and its European allies head to the Munich security conference, Europe must learn from its tragic history and oppose appeasement
In the new Trumpian era, liberal democracies must hold their noses—and engage with difficult partners
New polling says much of the world will welcome Trump. Europe will need to be more transactional abroad—but less so at home
What if Russia wins in Ukraine? We can already see the shadows of a dark 2025
Instability is growing, Putin’s hybrid war in Europe is heating up, and for fear of escalation we have encouraged global nuclear proliferation
Trump’s return is terrible news for Ukraine. Europe should step into the breach – but will it?
With Germany’s government collapsing and Europeans so divided in their response to Trump, unity is essential yet elusive
Podcasts
Living in an à la carte world: What European policymakers should learn from global public opinion
Jeremy Shapiro welcomes Timothy Garton Ash, Ivan Krastev and Mark Leonard to discuss how public sentiment can guide Europe in building partnerships and the world of tomorrow
The blindsided: How France and Germany cleared the way for Russia
Mark Leonard welcomes Sylvie Kauffmann and Timothy Garton Ash to discuss the former’s new book “The Blindsided” and France and Germany’s history with Putin’s Russia
United West, divided from the rest: Global public opinion one year into Russia’s war on Ukraine
Mark Leonard, Timothy Garton Ash, and Ivan Krastev discuss the main findings of ECFR’s latest opinion poll
15 years of ECFR: Reflections on Europe in a tumultuous world
We turned 15! Time to reflect on the past years and ECFR’s role in helping Europe find a strong, united voice
1989- the greatest year in European history?
In the first in our mini-series on the events of 1989, host Mark Leonard is joined by very special guest Timothy Garton Ash, historian and…
Timothy Ash on the economic impact of sanctions against Russia
In the second of two podcasts examining possible sanctions against Vladimir Putin's Russia, following Moscow's actions in Crimea, Timothy Ash looks at the possible…
Events
European Power
The World in 2026: Global Public Opinion One Year into the Second Trump Presidency
How do publics around the world view geopolitics one year into the second Trump presidency? ECFR’s 2024 polling revealed that many middle-power societies welcomed Trump’s return to the White House. Yet twelve months on, perceptions of power, polarity, and alignment have shifted towards a multipolar, post-Western world. On the day of the launch of ECFR’s fourth Global Public Opinion Survey, this webinar will reveal how publics across 21 countries including China, India, Turkey, Russia, the…
European Power
European views on a second Trump presidency: Time for pragmatism
The re-election of President Trump sent shockwaves across Europe and around the world. From a global perspective, Europeans are seemingly alone in their pessimism about a second Trump mandate compared to people in other countries around the world. But what does the picture look like if we zoom-in on Europe? This…
European Power
World views on a second Trump presidency: Alliances, adversaries, and opportunities
As the world prepares for a second Trump presidency and its transformative impact on the global order, Europe faces an urgent need to not only reassess its transatlantic ties but also to rethink engagement with other powers on its path to strategic interdependence. This event which will explore the findings of public opinion polling conducted…
In the media
Mark Leonard, Timothy Garton Ash and Ivan Krastev on the polling results showing a shift in the EU’s view of America as an ally.
Mark Leonard, Timothy Garton Ash and Ivan Krastev on the polling results showing a shift in the EU’s view of America as an ally
Mark Leonard, Timothy Garton Ash and Ivan Krastev on the polling results showing a shift in the countries’ views of America and China.
ECFR’s report “How Trump is making China great again—and what it means for Europe” by Timothy Garton Ash, Ivan Krastev and Mark Leonard mentioned by Formiche
Timothy Garton Ash on the EU’s altered view of the transatlantic relationship and the necessity for new internationalism