The European Council on Foreign Relations

The hour of Europe

By Uffe Ellemann-Jensen - 29 Mar 09

This article first appeared in the Guardian on 29 March 2009.

So far, Europe's leaders seem to be mostly preoccupied with finding national answers to the global economic crisis. In particular, the leaders of "Old Europe" have been reluctant to open up their coffers for the countries of "New Europe". If this attitude prevails, there is a grave risk that the European project will become paralysed. This will not only delay the restoration of economic growth, but will also have dire political consequences.

The EU's new members from eastern and central Europe have been hit much harder by the crisis than the old member states; they are also much less prepared to confront the situation psychologically and socially. Many were gravely disappointed when European leaders earlier this month rejected pleas to establish a special support programme for them. Of course, German Chancellor Angela Merkel was right to point out that each country should be dealt with according to its situation. But she and her colleagues should have voiced clearer and more emphatic support for the new member states.

Emotions and expectations ran high when the new democracies from the former eastern bloc joined the EU only five years ago. Until the crisis hit last year, the enlargement had proven to be a profitable business for Old Europe: high growth rates in most of New Europe injected energy into Old Europe's sagging economies, much to the surprise of those who had predicted that enlargement would become an economic millstone around the neck of the established member states.

But when the financial system crumbled growth rates fell like a ton of bricks. The new democracies were shaken as public protests erupted in some of their capitals, and some governments have fallen. Expectations and confidence in democracy, the market economy, and the larger European project have suffered as well.

If this is allowed to continue, we might end up opening a Pandora's box, setting free the nationalistic and xenophobic ghosts of the past. Some of these democracies are very young and fragile. The optimism created by their peaceful return to a free and democratic Europe has been shattered to a degree that none of us could have foreseen.

This is where political leadership is needed. The leaders of the well-established European democracies must explain to their own voters that enlargement has greatly benefited them, and that it will also be to their benefit to share the responsibilities and costs of steering the hardest-hit countries through the crisis.

There were always exaggerated claims that bringing in the new members would be a costly affair, just as petty and narrow prejudices blemished the willingness to open up Europe's borders for "Polish plumbers".

Any sober appraisal of what has actually happened since expansion would put the problems in perspective: when enlargement was agreed, the combined size of the 10 new members' economies roughly equalled that of the Netherlands. Today, after five years of much stronger growth among the newcomers, their combined GNP is somewhat smaller than that of the Benelux countries.

Thus, the sheer magnitude of the task of reviving these economies is not overwhelming. But the political consequences of failure to deliver a message of genuine European solidarity will be. This is indeed "the hour of Europe".

I remember when this phrase was last used: in 1991, when the chairman of the European Council of Ministers visited what was still Yugoslavia and eagerly accepted the empty promises of Slobodan Milosevic and his clique that they were ready to accept European pleas for a peaceful resolution to the conflicts there. The chairman stated: "This is the hour of Europe, not the hour of the Americans." As we all are embarrassingly aware, it was the Americans who had to produce the intervention that finally stopped the bloodshed in the Balkans.

But this time we Europeans cannot expect others to step in. Turning to the International Monetary Fund or others when it comes to pulling our chestnuts out of the fire will not bring us the needed confidence in the European project. So this must be the hour of Europe.

And that means that a clear message should be sent to those who are becoming doubtful about the EU's worth: We are in this together. We will find common European solutions. Solidarity among members is not just something we talk about when the future looks bright and rosy.

Uffe Ellemann-Jensen is a former minister for foreign affairs of Denmark

 


Comments

There are no comments for this entry yet. Get the discussion started and post below.

Submit a Comment

Your message will be submitted to a moderator before appearing online. Name and email address are required, all other fields are optional. Your email will not be displayed.

Please enter the word you see in the image below:

Remember my personal information

Latest Publications

China shapes its post-crisis economic agenda

The latest issue of China Analysis looks at Beijing’s willingness to strengthen international economic governance, and its authors argue that much thinking in China seems to focus on the short term

China and India: rivals always, partners sometimes

The authors of the latest issue of China Analysis argue that Western concerns over “Chindia” - the emergence of a Sino-Indian economic power bloc or strategic alliance - may be unwarranted. 

Towards a post-American Europe: A Power Audit of EU-US Relations by Nick Witney & Jeremy Shapiro

Europe has the US president it wished for, but does Barack Obama have the strong transatlantic partner he wants?

Can the EU rebuild failing states? A review of Europe’s civilian capacities.

Have broken promises and treating Afghanistan, DR Congo and Iraq like Bosnia left the EU without the capacity to prevent fragile states from becoming failing states?

What does Russia think?

ECFR publishes a collection of views from key Russian intellectuals.

The EU and human rights at the UN: 2009 annual review

The EU’s ongoing loss of influence at the UN is putting lives at risk, argues the author of ECFR’s latest paper.

China’s response to the G2

Fears in Europe that China works to lock the US into a “G2” embrace so as to dominate the global agenda do not reflect Chinese experts’ current strategic thinking.

European and Russian power in the troubled neighbourhood

Is a complacent strategy that focuses on gradual change rather than crises losing the EU its battle with Russia for influence in the eastern neighbourhood?

Beyond the “War on Terror”

The EU has an opportunity to influence President Obama’s efforts to reform US counterterrorism policy

A Power Audit of EU-China Relations

China is exploiting the EU’s divisions and treating the 27-state bloc with “diplomatic contempt” on issues ranging from trade to the Dalai Lama.

Shaping Europe's Afghan Surge

Will the military surge in Afghanistan fail without a civilian surge?

Re-wiring the US-EU relationship

With the pivotal change of leadership in Washington, the US and the EU may have an ideal moment to strengthen the US-EU institutional bond.

Beyond dependence: How to deal with Russian gas

Could building a single European market in natural gas be the most effective strategy for the European Union in countering Russia’s divisive energy diplomacy?

Promoting democracy abroad - the EU's record

In a joint research project with FRIDE, ECFR looks at the EU’s record in Azerbaijan, Belarus, Ukraine, Jordan, Lebanon and Morocco.

Is the EU a global force for human rights?

The EU’s leverage to promote human rights through the UN has dramatically declined over the last decade, our exclusive report reveals.

Can the EU win the peace in Georgia?

This authors analyse the background and developments in the Russia-Georgia conflict and outline recommendations on how to prevent wider political fallout.

Re-energising Europe's Security and Defence Policy

European governments cannot afford to move at the speed of the slowest, argues Nick Witney, and should push for a ‘multi-speed’ Europe on ESDP

In the Press

The Kyiv Post - 11 Mar 10

A piece on the EU and Ukraine, quoting Wilson and Popescu’s recent report.

The Prague Post - 10 Mar 10

Korski: “The Anglo-American strategy in Afghanistan has hit an absolute low mark.”

Reuters - 08 Mar 10

Daniel Korski on what lies ahead for Baroness Ashton.

Read more press >

Click here for ECFR's Youtube channel.