Chinese thinkers are drawing four key lessons from Russia’s war on Ukraine, informing their views on: America, Russia, Taiwan, and economic interdependence with the West
The Wagner mutiny showed that Western states cannot expect a challenge from within to end Russia’s war
Several options await Wagner in Belarus, but none is likely to change the status quo
Western states should take steps now to map out the future scenarios that could unfold – and engage with Russian civil society to understand what may happen
What are the political dynamics surrounding the Russian military? Exploring potential scenarios for Russia’s civil-military development and implications for NATO and Europe
Ukrainians are preparing for a make-or-break counter-offensive. They have a theory of victory. Do we?
With the war in Ukraine well into its second year, European politicians from across the political spectrum are still eager to show their support for the country. But a battle for the soul of Europe is brewing beneath the surface, and next year’s European Parliament elections could serve as its first battleground
The EU and its member states are applying tools of economic statecraft. Now is the time for a full assessment of how well they have worked
Putin’s attention-seeking plan to station nuclear weapons in Belarus underlines his commitment to nuclear risk manipulation – but his blackmail may be losing its potency
Putin may be bluffing about the deployment of tactical nuclear weapons in Belarus. But if he follows through, the chance of a democratic transition for Belarus could all but vanish