For Lukashenko, a destabilization of Russia or Putin is an existential threat because his power is guaranteed by Moscow
Media mentions – Russia
The erosion has begun, also because responsibility for the war and the country’s failure is now inextricably linked to one name: Putin
The core of Wagner’s offer in Africa is to provide protection to leaders who fear that rival armed groups are trying to oust them from power
After the march on Moscow, Wagner is unlikely to remain a reliable security provider for foreign leaders. The Wagner model will therefore undergo fundamental changes
Formally, Vladimir Putin’s power was not threatened, but his authority was explicitly and radically challenged
Putin could be driven from power, leaving behind a fragmented Russia where various “warlords” compete for power – including control of the world’s largest nuclear arsenal
Ana Palacio warns of Russia’s dangerous nuclear consensus
Before February 2022, Wagner’s main activity was to offer protection to foreign governments, as in the Central African Republic and Mali
The fact that Putin is willing to make concessions when faced with violence may herald further challenges of an even more radical nature
The idea of weakening a nuclear-armed state is not something that we should celebrate