Prigozhin’s gambit: The future of Wagner in Belarus
Several options await Wagner in Belarus, but none is likely to change the status quo
Russia
Be prepared: Lessons for the West from the Wagner mutiny
Western states should take steps now to map out the future scenarios that could unfold – and engage with Russian civil society to understand what may happen
Why the West must be ready for this moment of opportunity and risk in Ukraine
Ukrainians are preparing for a make-or-break counter-offensive. They have a theory of victory. Do we?
Population-centric: Lessons from Russia’s hybrid war in Moldova
Russian political proxies are weaponising protests in Moldova, escalating Russia’s hybrid war in the country. Despite optimistic appearances, Moldovan authorities are ill-prepared to face this crisis.
Demand swerve: Lavrov in Africa
By making new offers of partnership to African countries, Russia is setting a trap for the West
The cold man of Europe: Germany’s energy emergency
Decades of wilfully blind dependence on Russian gas have left Germany facing a bleak winter. German leaders could now have an opportunity to begin repairing the damage.
Putin’s war at home: Censorship and disinformation
To counter the Kremlin’s information campaign in Russia, European policymakers need to account for individual and group psychology
Russia’s escalation in Ukraine: Views from Asia
Asia’s three largest powers all have a stake in the Russia-Ukraine crisis. China hopes to change the global order, Japan aims to resist this effort, and India is eager not to alienate Russia or the West.
Will Putin unite Europe?
Across Europe, national attitudes toward the Russian threat against Ukraine reflect a broad array of concerns and historical experiences. Yet underlying Europeans’ differences are key shared interests that they are increasingly willing to defend.
Lost in the Dream: How the EU can end the political deadlock in Georgia
Georgia is caught in a vicious circle of polarisation and state capture. The EU should respond by explicitly linking support for the Georgian government to its implementation of concrete reforms and anticorruption initiatives.