The situation is a huge risk for Turkey, there is no doubt. Iran will also stand to lose if the Taliban returns to its old ways and provides a safe haven for Islamist extremists.
By downplaying Mr. Zarif’s role, the supreme leader reaffirmed his support for the talks while also sheltering them from criticism by hard-liners.
The Obama administration relied entirely on a global outreach program on banks and companies to reassure them about engaging in compliant trade with Iran
A Comprehensive Strategic Partnership China isn’t likely to embolden Iran’s moves away from the nuclear deal
That talks have continued at the technical level shows that political leaders on both sides agree on the general contours of the roadmap needed for Iran and the US to come back into compliance
Despite his pledges to readjust US policy on Iran, Biden is still essentially pursuing the Trump-era maximum pressure campaign, designed to force Tehran to make concessions first
Julien Barnes-Dacey and Ellie Geranmayeh were quoted pointing out the contrast between Biden’s promise and the current American policy on Iran
After four years of trying to keep this agreement together under the Trump administration, the Europeans are hoping that it doesn’t fall apart under a Biden administration
The problem is both the Iranian side and the U.S. side are finding it very tough to navigate the domestic political restraints.
Mohammad Javad Zarif himself suggested this format under European Union’s auspices
The new Iranian administration may agree on a revised JCPOA with the US. But if the economic benefits are paltry, political support will drain away.
Even if the JCPOA is restored, European companies will hesitate to trade in Iran. European and American officials should work together to give companies the comfort they need.
Raisi’s election victory will not make Iranian politics any less volatile. Instead, it signals another of the cyclical changes in Iran’s politics that have taken place since 1979.
Iran’s presidential election will do little to boost frontrunner Ebrahim Raisi’s popular legitimacy
Europe should support the recent Iranian-Saudi talks in Baghdad as an opportunity to help stabilise the Middle East, despite risk of that engagement being derailed
The Biden administration has boxed itself into a maximalist position that jeopardises efforts to make the Iran sanctions programme more humane. European governments should be pushed to change course.
The US needs to swiftly re-energise diplomacy with Iran rather than be sucked into new tit-for-tat military strikes
Europe and the US should focus their efforts on swiftly returning to the original nuclear agreement with Iran rather than holding out for the unlikely prospect of better terms
In the coming weeks, the US and the E3 should make clear to Israel that reviving the original Iran nuclear deal is still the best means of addressing its immediate security concerns
If European governments want to salvage the deal before it is too late, while also opening up the prospect of negotiations with Iran on regional security, they need to quickly and clearly reject the argument that the two issues should be bundled together