Putin’s nuclear arms are his main weapons with which he can threaten the West, the US, the whole world. If he loses the conventional war, the only argument he has to threaten the rest of the world is
Media mentions – Belarus
The Russians are trying to pin down as many Ukrainian forces in other places as possible, by posing latent threats to them
Lukashenka’s task is to stick to this process, no matter in what status – just to achieve his personal presence
Pavel Slunkin comments on Lukashenka’s desire for Belarus to be represented at the peace negotiations between Ru and UA
It seems that Mr Lukashenka is testing the limits in his relations with Moscow. The change in rhetoric from a full support for the Russian invasion to “we are neutral” happened in just three weeks.
Pavel Slunkin explores Lukashenka’s change in attitude towards Russia following Putin’s invasion of Ukraine
Most Belarusians who volunteer to fight for Ukraine are driven by a belief that Kyiv’s struggle is part of their own fight to free Belarus from Russian imperialism
Pavel Slunkin provides insight into potential Belarusian motives to engage in Russia’s attack on Ukraine
he [Lukashenka] does not want to cross the red line and to send his own soldiers there. The sanctions he would have to face would ruin the country’s economy.
Pavel Slunkin argues that despite Belarus’ proximity to Russia, Lukashenka would not directly involve himself and his country in the invasion of Ukraine
important … to disassociate from Lukashenko’s regime, which is supported by only a small part of society, from the majority who support Ukraine or would definitely not participate in the invasion
Pavel Slunkin comments on Belarusian attitudes towards Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and their willingness to engage in combat
There is a danger that the West’s solidarity with Ukraine will trump its previous support for the Belarusian opposition. Indeed, the Belarusian democratic movement may find it harder to gain attention
Pavel Slunkin and Andrew Wilson’s analysis on Belarus’ government’s support for Russia on the invasion of Ukraine
The German newspaper quotes from Gustav Gressel and Pavel Slunkin’s latest commentary
Lukashenko was lucky in that Belarus was able to sell goods it could not sell in previous years, and at much higher prices
Pavel Slunkin explains how Belarus was able to double its foreign trade despite sanctions