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Latest

583737896

The Trump trap: Why Meloni’s referendum defeat is a warning for Europe

  • Arturo Varvelli
Policy alert
Australia European Union

Beefing up partnerships: How the EU and Australia can give their trade deal strategic heft

  • James Crabtree

Featured

(EconomyInFocus) CHINA CHONGQING NEW ENERGY VEHICLES EXPORT (CN)

EV endgame: Stalling China’s export surge in Europe’s southern neighbourhood

  • Jonathan Fulton, Camille Lons, Byford Tsang
  • Policy Brief

Chinese electric vehicle brands are adapting to Western trade barriers by increasing their presence in the Middle East and North Africa. Europe’s response must go beyond merely closing the loopholes

Policy alert
Wegweiser mit Autopiktogramm und Schriftzug Strait of Hormuz

Hormuz hold’em: How to stop the US-Iran crisis in the strait

  • Ellie Geranmayeh, Jeremy Shapiro
  • Policy Alert
  • 2 minute read

If Trump follows through on his threat to bomb Iran’s energy infrastructure, the Strait of Hormuz is likely to shut down entirely and the catastrophic energy crisis will deepen. Europeans need to push for an urgent and sustainable ceasefire

583433015

Lebanon on the brink: Europe must act now if it wants to prevent a refugee wave

  • Kelly Petillo
  • Commentary
  • 3 minute read

With over a thousand dead and a million displaced, Lebanon is edging towards state collapse. Europe must go beyond humanitarian aid and throw its full weight behind France’s diplomatic push

SWITZERLAND WEF 2026 DAVOS

Friends-and-family diplomacy: Lessons for Europe from Gaza and Ukraine

  • Julien Barnes-Dacey, Jana Kobzova, Jim O’Brien
  • Commentary
  • 10 minute read

Trump’s family and friends are trying—but failing—to broker peace in Gaza, Ukraine and beyond. The network they are building blends diplomacy with profit. Europe needs to find a way to shape the terms

Upcoming events

8 Apr

Beijing hold’em 2.0: European cards against Chinese coercion

  • 8 April 2026 Online
14 Apr

Europe’s Climate Crossroads: Power, Competitiveness and the New Global Order

  • 14 April 2026

Recent events

27 Mar

The bear and the bot farm: Implications of Russian hybrid operations in Africa

  • 27 March 2026 Online
27 Mar

Warsaw European Conversation 2026

  • 27 March 2026 · ECFR Warsaw

Mark Leonard's World in 30 minutes

What the Iran war means for Ukraine

  • Podcast
  • Mark Leonard's World in 30 minutes

Mark Leonard is joined by Jana Kobzova to discuss how the war in Iran is affecting Ukraine, from US support to shifting European unity

Listen

WOMENP

Yemen Clashes

Yemen: Between Gulf tensions and Iran war clouds

  • Podcast
  • WOMENP

Cinzia Bianco welcomes Yasmeen Al-Eryani and Maysaa Shuja al-Deen to unpack the recent developments around Yemen and what they mean for Europe

Listen

Views from the Council

547911893

Love Actually? Washington’s current relationship with Britain is more like Contempt Actually

  • Timothy Garton Ash
  • Commentary
  • View from the Council
  • 4 minute read

If the UK wants to regain serious respect in the world, it needs its European leg as well as its transatlantic one

567256343

Trump strikes Venezuela: Three conclusions for Europe

  • Carl Bildt
  • Commentary
  • View from the Council
  • 3 minute read

Trump’s military action in Venezuela highlights America’s hemispheric turn, its disregard for international law and the president’s growing reliance on force. Europe faces tough choices to defend its interests

In the Media - Council

Lykke Friis
CNBC 25 March 2026

Lykke Friis on the Danish general election result

Mark Leonard
Hospodářské noviny 23 February 2026

Mark Leonard on the connection between the European far right and Trump

Carl Bildt
Foreign Policy 20 February 2026

Carl Bildt on the necessity for Europe to provide further support to Ukraine

Ivan Krastev
Novi Magazin 14 February 2026

Ivan Krastev on the future of NATO in the Trump era

Featured and flagship projects

The Data Collection

Explore our open-access data platform for unparalleled access to ECFR’s public opinion polls—empowering research and insight on today’s key foreign policy issues.

Featured
Trump Shadow 2

Transatlantic twilight: European public opinion and the long shadow of Trump

  • Jana Puglierin, Arturo Varvelli, Pawel Zerka

Re:Engage

This project helps the EU in refining its foreign policy, re-engaging neighbours post-Russia's invasion of Ukraine to bolster regional resilience and advance enlargement policies.

Featured
EU Flags hanging from the queue barriers during the Open Doors Day

The interest of values: The EU’s democracy promotion in the Western Balkans and the eastern neighbourhood

  • Piotr Buras, Marie Dumoulin, Tefta Kelmendi, Marlene Marx

Re:Order

Re:Order project explores emerging visions of the global order, as well as the interplay between economic might and geopolitical influence.

Featured
Green transition world order

The electric endgame: Europe’s clean path out of vassalage

  • Alberto Rizzi

Subscribe to our newsletters

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Discover our newsletters

Latest

583737896

The Trump trap: Why Meloni’s referendum defeat is a warning for Europe

  • Arturo Varvelli
  • Commentary
  • 3 minute read

The Italian prime minister’s referendum defeat could reveal the price of allying with a US administration that goes against European interests

Policy alert
Australia European Union

Beefing up partnerships: How the EU and Australia can give their trade deal strategic heft

  • James Crabtree
  • Policy Alert
  • 2 minute read

The EU has concluded its third major trade deal of 2026. Its agreement with Australia reflects both sides’ desire for new partners amid Trumpian chaos and Chinese coercion. But now this partnership should go further

9th International Conference in support of Syria

The Gulf on the front line: The end of strategic hedging and new space for Europeans

  • Cinzia Bianco
  • Commentary
  • 6 minute read

The war on Iran marks a turning point in the security calculus of the Gulf monarchies. Strategic hedging has failed—and Europeans could become just the reliable partners the monarchies need

Souvenirs featuring world leaders

Why China, not Russia, could be the real winner of the Iran war

  • Agathe Demarais
  • Commentary
  • 2 minute read

Russia’s oil bonanza will hardly bridge its huge fiscal gap. China’s current pains are real, but its gains could last

547911893

Love Actually? Washington’s current relationship with Britain is more like Contempt Actually

  • Timothy Garton Ash
  • Commentary
  • View from the Council
  • 4 minute read

If the UK wants to regain serious respect in the world, it needs its European leg as well as its transatlantic one

Macron Finistere Ile Longue

Under my parapluie: Macron’s nuclear guarantee for Europe

  • Nick Witney
  • Commentary
  • 4 minute read

With Macron in charge, France has the capabilities and the commitment to extend its nuclear umbrella to European allies. But the prospect of a very different president in the Elysée next year means British backup could become invaluable

In the media

Our experts are available for media requests. Our work involves many issues relating to Europe and foreign policy, and our programmes focus on Africa, Asia, the Middle East & North Africa, and Wider Europe.

All our experts Newsroom
Ellie Geranmayeh
The American Conservative 27 March 2026

Ellie Geranmayeh on Israel’s attempts to lock Washington and Tehran in perpetual conflict

Alberto Rizzi
Montel news 27 March 2026

Alberto Rizzi on rising gas prices amid the conflict with Iran and the risk of further increases should the crisis drag on

Alberto Rizzi
TRENDS 27 March 2026

Alberto Rizzi on Europe’s diplomatic role within the conflict in Iran

Ellie Geranmayeh
Al Jazeera 26 March 2026

Ellie Geranmayeh on peace negotiations and ceasefire prospects between the US and Iran

Nele Anders
EUobserver 26 March 2026

ECFR’s public opinion data on the Trump electorates’ view of his global role

Ellie Geranmayeh
DW 26 March 2026

Ellie Geranmayeh on viewing Trump’s peace offer as a call for Iran to surrender

More on Africa

KENYA NAIROBI CHINESE GREEN BUSINESS

Carbon bargain: How Europe can adapt to Africa’s new energy alliances

  • Sarah Logan, Maddalena Procopio
  • Policy Brief

Europeans must adapt their approach to supporting Africa’s energy transitions—or risk losing out to China and other competitors


Mali and CAR: Looking for Different Partners?

  • Will Brown
  • External publication
  • 0 minute read

Europe, Mauritania and the Gulf states: Securing stability and growth in the Sahel

  • Corrado Čok
  • Commentary
  • 6 minute read

More on Asia

Binaercode und China Flagge auf Putzwand

Borrowed mouths and laundered messages: China’s influence playbook in Europe

  • Alicja Bachulska, Ivana Karásková, Konrad Szatters
  • Policy Brief

Chinese foreign manipulation and interference are rising in Europe. Five techniques feature in Beijing’s playbook, communicating messages about China’s place in the world and support for Russian positions. 


Funding war, courting crisis: Why China’s support for Russia requires a European response

  • Evelyn Yeh
  • Commentary
  • 4 minute read

Hedging the hegemon: Why Europe and South Korea need each other in the Trump era

  • Alexander Lipke
  • Commentary
  • 5 minute read

More on European Power

Green transition world order

The electric endgame: Europe’s clean path out of vassalage

  • Alberto Rizzi
  • Policy Brief

The geoeconomic power of the future will be shaped by climate policy. Countries that play the right moves in regulation, clean-tech production and climate finance today will win in the electrified world of tomorrow


It’s Official: Trump’s Tariffs Have Failed

  • Agathe Demarais
  • External publication
  • 0 minute read

Gimme fuel, hold the fire: How Europe can safeguard its energy security against Gulf shocks

  • Szymon Kardaś
  • Commentary
  • 3 minute read

More on European Security

Drohenflug am Abend

From shield to sword: Europe’s offensive strategy for the hybrid age

  • Will Brown, Jana Kobzova, Nicu Popescu, José Ignacio Torreblanca
  • Policy Brief

Europe’s defensive measures to shield its democracies from hybrid attacks are no longer enough. If Europeans want to protect their peace and prosperity, the time has come for them to fight back


A war with no winners: The costs of US-Israeli aggression on Iran

  • Julien Barnes-Dacey, Ellie Geranmayeh, Cinzia Bianco, Hugh Lovatt, Andrew Small, Aslı Aydıntaşbaş, Jana Kobzova, Majda Ruge
  • Commentary
  • 12 minute read

Suspicious minds: Why Europeans are considering their post-America nuclear options

  • Rafael Loss
  • Commentary
  • 4 minute read

More on Middle East and North Africa

Photo-illustration depicting Palestinian Authority president Mahmoud Abbas and Israeli prime minister Binyamin Netanyahu | By Portia Kentish for ECFR

Averting West Bank collapse: How to revive Palestinian politics

  • Hugh Lovatt, Tahani Mustafa
  • Policy Brief

Hollowed out by violent Israeli control and Mahmoud Abbas’s personal rule, the Palestinian Authority is losing its grip on the West Bank. European and Arab states must intervene to rebuild legitimate governance and keep Palestinian self-determination alive


Can America and Iran Reach a Cease-Fire?

  • Ellie Geranmayeh
  • External publication
  • 0 minute read

Israel and the U.S. Have No Plan for Iran. So Europe Must Stand Up to Trump

  • Beth Oppenheim
  • External publication
  • 0 minute read

More on United States

Trump Meets Congo And Rwanda Officials Following Peace Agreement Washington

One battle after another: Factional struggles and the making of Trump’s foreign policy

  • Majda Ruge
  • Policy Brief

Trump’s foreign and security policy is the product of factional competition in the White House and a president fixated on short-term wins. Here’s how Europeans should come to terms with this new reality


Letter from Washington: Why James Talarico may be the future of Democratic foreign policy

  • Chris Herrmann, Jeremy Shapiro
  • Commentary
  • 4 minute read

Decision time for Europe

  • Mark Leonard
  • Commentary
  • 3 minute read
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