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EV endgame: Stalling China’s export surge in Europe’s southern neighbourhood
- Jonathan Fulton, Camille Lons, Byford Tsang
- Policy Brief
Chinese electric vehicle brands are adapting to Western trade barriers by increasing their presence in the Middle East and North Africa. Europe’s response must go beyond merely closing the loopholes
Hormuz hold’em: How to stop the US-Iran crisis in the strait
- Ellie Geranmayeh, Jeremy Shapiro
- Policy Alert
- 2 minute read
If Trump follows through on his threat to bomb Iran’s energy infrastructure, the Strait of Hormuz is likely to shut down entirely and the catastrophic energy crisis will deepen. Europeans need to push for an urgent and sustainable ceasefire
Lebanon on the brink: Europe must act now if it wants to prevent a refugee wave
- Kelly Petillo
- Commentary
- 3 minute read
With over a thousand dead and a million displaced, Lebanon is edging towards state collapse. Europe must go beyond humanitarian aid and throw its full weight behind France’s diplomatic push
Friends-and-family diplomacy: Lessons for Europe from Gaza and Ukraine
- Julien Barnes-Dacey, Jana Kobzova, Jim O’Brien
- Commentary
- 10 minute read
Trump’s family and friends are trying—but failing—to broker peace in Gaza, Ukraine and beyond. The network they are building blends diplomacy with profit. Europe needs to find a way to shape the terms
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Warsaw European Conversation 2026
- · ECFR Warsaw
Mark Leonard's World in 30 minutes
What the Iran war means for Ukraine
- Podcast
- Mark Leonard's World in 30 minutes
Mark Leonard is joined by Jana Kobzova to discuss how the war in Iran is affecting Ukraine, from US support to shifting European unity
WOMENP
Yemen: Between Gulf tensions and Iran war clouds
- Podcast
- WOMENP
Cinzia Bianco welcomes Yasmeen Al-Eryani and Maysaa Shuja al-Deen to unpack the recent developments around Yemen and what they mean for Europe
Views from the Council
Love Actually? Washington’s current relationship with Britain is more like Contempt Actually
- Timothy Garton Ash
- Commentary
- View from the Council
- 4 minute read
If the UK wants to regain serious respect in the world, it needs its European leg as well as its transatlantic one
Trump strikes Venezuela: Three conclusions for Europe
- Carl Bildt
- Commentary
- View from the Council
- 3 minute read
Trump’s military action in Venezuela highlights America’s hemispheric turn, its disregard for international law and the president’s growing reliance on force. Europe faces tough choices to defend its interests
Featured and flagship projects
The Data Collection
Explore our open-access data platform for unparalleled access to ECFR’s public opinion polls—empowering research and insight on today’s key foreign policy issues.
Transatlantic twilight: European public opinion and the long shadow of Trump
- Jana Puglierin, Arturo Varvelli, Pawel Zerka
Re:Engage
This project helps the EU in refining its foreign policy, re-engaging neighbours post-Russia's invasion of Ukraine to bolster regional resilience and advance enlargement policies.
The interest of values: The EU’s democracy promotion in the Western Balkans and the eastern neighbourhood
- Piotr Buras, Marie Dumoulin, Tefta Kelmendi, Marlene Marx
Re:Order
Re:Order project explores emerging visions of the global order, as well as the interplay between economic might and geopolitical influence.
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The Trump trap: Why Meloni’s referendum defeat is a warning for Europe
- Arturo Varvelli
- Commentary
- 3 minute read
The Italian prime minister’s referendum defeat could reveal the price of allying with a US administration that goes against European interests
Beefing up partnerships: How the EU and Australia can give their trade deal strategic heft
- James Crabtree
- Policy Alert
- 2 minute read
The EU has concluded its third major trade deal of 2026. Its agreement with Australia reflects both sides’ desire for new partners amid Trumpian chaos and Chinese coercion. But now this partnership should go further
The Gulf on the front line: The end of strategic hedging and new space for Europeans
- Cinzia Bianco
- Commentary
- 6 minute read
The war on Iran marks a turning point in the security calculus of the Gulf monarchies. Strategic hedging has failed—and Europeans could become just the reliable partners the monarchies need
Why China, not Russia, could be the real winner of the Iran war
- Agathe Demarais
- Commentary
- 2 minute read
Russia’s oil bonanza will hardly bridge its huge fiscal gap. China’s current pains are real, but its gains could last
Love Actually? Washington’s current relationship with Britain is more like Contempt Actually
- Timothy Garton Ash
- Commentary
- View from the Council
- 4 minute read
If the UK wants to regain serious respect in the world, it needs its European leg as well as its transatlantic one
Under my parapluie: Macron’s nuclear guarantee for Europe
- Nick Witney
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
With Macron in charge, France has the capabilities and the commitment to extend its nuclear umbrella to European allies. But the prospect of a very different president in the Elysée next year means British backup could become invaluable
Our experts are available for media requests. Our work involves many issues relating to Europe and foreign policy, and our programmes focus on Africa, Asia, the Middle East & North Africa, and Wider Europe.
Ellie Geranmayeh on Israel’s attempts to lock Washington and Tehran in perpetual conflict
Alberto Rizzi on rising gas prices amid the conflict with Iran and the risk of further increases should the crisis drag on
More on Africa
Carbon bargain: How Europe can adapt to Africa’s new energy alliances
- Sarah Logan, Maddalena Procopio
- Policy Brief
Europeans must adapt their approach to supporting Africa’s energy transitions—or risk losing out to China and other competitors
Mali and CAR: Looking for Different Partners?
- Will Brown
- External publication
- 0 minute read
Europe, Mauritania and the Gulf states: Securing stability and growth in the Sahel
- Corrado Čok
- Commentary
- 6 minute read
More on Asia
Borrowed mouths and laundered messages: China’s influence playbook in Europe
- Alicja Bachulska, Ivana Karásková, Konrad Szatters
- Policy Brief
Chinese foreign manipulation and interference are rising in Europe. Five techniques feature in Beijing’s playbook, communicating messages about China’s place in the world and support for Russian positions.
Funding war, courting crisis: Why China’s support for Russia requires a European response
- Evelyn Yeh
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
Hedging the hegemon: Why Europe and South Korea need each other in the Trump era
- Alexander Lipke
- Commentary
- 5 minute read
More on European Power
The electric endgame: Europe’s clean path out of vassalage
- Alberto Rizzi
- Policy Brief
The geoeconomic power of the future will be shaped by climate policy. Countries that play the right moves in regulation, clean-tech production and climate finance today will win in the electrified world of tomorrow
It’s Official: Trump’s Tariffs Have Failed
- Agathe Demarais
- External publication
- 0 minute read
Gimme fuel, hold the fire: How Europe can safeguard its energy security against Gulf shocks
- Szymon Kardaś
- Commentary
- 3 minute read
More on European Security
From shield to sword: Europe’s offensive strategy for the hybrid age
- Will Brown, Jana Kobzova, Nicu Popescu, José Ignacio Torreblanca
- Policy Brief
Europe’s defensive measures to shield its democracies from hybrid attacks are no longer enough. If Europeans want to protect their peace and prosperity, the time has come for them to fight back
A war with no winners: The costs of US-Israeli aggression on Iran
- Julien Barnes-Dacey, Ellie Geranmayeh, Cinzia Bianco, Hugh Lovatt, Andrew Small, Aslı Aydıntaşbaş, Jana Kobzova, Majda Ruge
- Commentary
- 12 minute read
Suspicious minds: Why Europeans are considering their post-America nuclear options
- Rafael Loss
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
More on Middle East and North Africa
Averting West Bank collapse: How to revive Palestinian politics
- Hugh Lovatt, Tahani Mustafa
- Policy Brief
Hollowed out by violent Israeli control and Mahmoud Abbas’s personal rule, the Palestinian Authority is losing its grip on the West Bank. European and Arab states must intervene to rebuild legitimate governance and keep Palestinian self-determination alive
Can America and Iran Reach a Cease-Fire?
- Ellie Geranmayeh
- External publication
- 0 minute read
Israel and the U.S. Have No Plan for Iran. So Europe Must Stand Up to Trump
- Beth Oppenheim
- External publication
- 0 minute read
More on United States
One battle after another: Factional struggles and the making of Trump’s foreign policy
- Majda Ruge
- Policy Brief
Trump’s foreign and security policy is the product of factional competition in the White House and a president fixated on short-term wins. Here’s how Europeans should come to terms with this new reality
Letter from Washington: Why James Talarico may be the future of Democratic foreign policy
- Chris Herrmann, Jeremy Shapiro
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
Decision time for Europe
- Mark Leonard
- Commentary
- 3 minute read