Highlights
Featured
Maghreb migrations: How North Africa and Europe can work together on sub-Saharan migration
- Tasnim Abderrahim
- Policy Brief
North African countries are increasingly adopting ‘security first’ approaches towards sub-Saharan African migrants – a shift that could force EU states to rethink their own approach to the issue
The idea of China
- Alicja Bachulska, Mark Leonard, Janka Oertel
- Book
China’s ideas could become the country’s next big export. The Idea of China examines Chinese thinking about global order, AI, demographic change, and more – and considers how these ideas could influence the world
Eco-nomics: A green industrial policy for the next European Commission
- Susi Dennison, Mats Engström
- Policy Brief
The EU cannot afford to stay divided on its green industrial policy. Instead, the next European Commission should spearhead a common and credible approach to ensure the bloc catches the next green technology wave
The meaning of sovereignty: Ukrainian and European views of Russia’s war on Ukraine
- Ivan Krastev, Mark Leonard
- Policy Brief
New research confirms Ukrainians’ determination to fight and Europeans’ steady support for Kyiv. But a major divide lurks beneath this appearance of unity
Upcoming events
Lessons from Ukraine: Mapping out EU sanctions options for a Taiwan conflict
- ECFR Berlin, Unter den Linden 17, 10117 Berlin (entrance: Rosmarinstr. 1)
- ECFR Berlin
Recent events
ECFR Discussion with HR/VP Josep Borrell: How can the EU support a sustained ceasefire in Gaza and a renewed Israeli-Palestinian political track?
- Schuman area, Brussels. Address will be shared after registration.
Mark Leonard's World in 30 minutes
The world after the West: Sasha Gabuev and Mikhail Komin on Russia’s role in international organisations
- Podcast
- Mark Leonard's World in 30 minutes
Mark Leonard welcome Sasha Gabuev and Mikhail Komin to discuss how Russia’s involvement in international organisations is impacting its strategic regional interests
Swamp Chronicles
Swamp Chronicles: Robert Kagan on Donald Trump’s Republican Party
- Podcast
- Swamp Chronicles
Aslı Aydıntaşbaş and Jeremy Shapiro welcome Robert Kagan to discuss the underlying forces within Donald Trump’s Republican Party
Views from the Council
The future of the world may depend on what a few thousand Pennsylvania voters think about their grocery bills
- Timothy Garton Ash
- Commentary
- View from the Council
- 4 minute read
The Harris-Walz ticket has transformed the presidential race. But on the ground it’s clear: Trump could still win
Britain is suddenly a beacon of stability in Europe – now it’s France that’s in turmoil
- Timothy Garton Ash
- Commentary
- View from the Council
- 4 minute read
Sunday’s surprising election result prompted an international sigh of relief, but Emmanuel Macron’s gamble has weakened him and Europe
In the Media - Council
Gerald Knaus criticises plans to turn away refugees at the German border
Miroslav Lajčák comments on the Ohrid Agreement that aims to normalise bilateral relations between Serbia and Kosovo
Mujtaba Rahman explains why Giorgia Meloni will continue playing to the European centre
Reinhard Bütikofer on German state elections in Saxony and Thuringia
Featured projects
Charting The Long War
For seven decades, European integration has been driven by the quest for peace. The Russian invasion of Ukraine marks a turning point.
Re:Order
Re:Order project explores emerging visions of the global order, as well as the interplay between economic might and geopolitical influence.
Multilateral Matchmaker
- Carla Hobbs, Rafael Loss, Jana Puglierin, Pawel Zerka
Public opinion polling
Through polling in EU member states, ECFR’s analysis seeks to unlock shifting coalitions in Europe that favour a more internationally engaged union
A crisis of one’s own: The politics of trauma in Europe’s election year
- Ivan Krastev, Mark Leonard
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War, peace, and populism: How Germany’s extremist parties are shaping its foreign policy debate
- Angela Mehrer, Jana Puglierin
- Commentary
- Note from Berlin
- 5 minute read
Germany’s populist parties have enjoyed electoral success with their “anti-establishment” foreign policy. The governing centrist coalition must act fast to address their dangerous anti-Western stance before it becomes mainstream
The US election will overturn Europe’s strategic status quo
- Mark Leonard
- Commentary
- 3 minute read
Kamala Harris’s ascent to the top of the Democratic ticket has eliminated Donald Trump’s polling lead and allowed Europeans to contemplate alternatives to what would be their worst-case scenario. Yet, even if Harris wins, it would be foolish to expect complete continuity with the Biden administration
Keep your frenemies close: Why von der Leyen should mend her relationship with Meloni
- Arturo Varvelli
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
The strained relationship between Rome and Brussels risks weakening both parties’ foreign policy capabilities. To maintain a united front, the European Commission president would be better off extending an olive branch and giving Italy’s pick for commissioner the vice-president portfolio
The future of the world may depend on what a few thousand Pennsylvania voters think about their grocery bills
- Timothy Garton Ash
- Commentary
- View from the Council
- 4 minute read
The Harris-Walz ticket has transformed the presidential race. But on the ground it’s clear: Trump could still win
Britain’s “root and branch” defence review must address two key questions
- Nick Witney
- Commentary
- 5 minute read
In a transformed geostrategic environment, Britain’s upcoming Strategic Defence Review must redefine the type of armed forces the country needs – while confronting the defence budget’s chronic wastefulness
At the precipice: Averting a civil war in Libya
- Tarek Megerisi
- Policy Alert
- 2 minute read
After weeks of rising tensions between Libya’s political elites, the country is nearing collapse. Europeans must act fast to avoid another conflict on their doorstep
Our experts are available for media requests. Our work involves many issues relating to Europe and foreign policy, and our programmes focus on Africa, Asia, the Middle East & North Africa, and Wider Europe.
Gerald Knaus criticises plans to turn away refugees at the German border
One the eve of the debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, Celia Belin was invited by France Culture to analyze the tactics, representations and speeches of the two radically opposed candidates
Vessela Tcherneva comments on Serbia and Kosovo’s increasing connection to the EU. Serbia is integrating economically but not politically. Should the EU change its approach towards the two countries?
Miroslav Lajčák comments on the Ohrid Agreement that aims to normalise bilateral relations between Serbia and Kosovo
More on Africa
Beyond competition: How Europe can harness the UAE’s energy ambitions in Africa
- Maddalena Procopio, Corrado Čok
- Policy Brief
The UAE has invested heavily in Africa’s energy sectors in recent years, expanding its stakes in oil and gas, and renewables. Rather than viewing the UAE as solely a rival, Europeans should pursue a strategy of “co-opetition”, balancing competition with cooperation in areas of mutual interest, to fast-track green initiatives
Deserted: Europe’s dilemma in the Sahel
- Will Brown
- Policy Alert
- 2 minute read
Out of focus: Making progress on climate financing for Africa
- Ameer Chughtai
- Commentary
- 5 minute read
More on Asia
Trust and trade-offs: How to manage Europe’s green technology dependence on China
- Alexander Lipke, Janka Oertel, Daniel O’Sullivan
- Policy Brief
European policymakers need to answer the ‘trust question’ of how far they want Chinese companies involved in green industries such as solar energy, batteries, and electric vehicles
Forget the bear hug: India’s gradual turn from Russia, towards the West
- James Crabtree
- Commentary
- 3 minute read
In the same boat: Why Taiwan is strengthening ties with central and eastern Europe
- Alicja Bachulska
- Commentary
- 5 minute read
More on European Power
Defending Europe with less America
- Camille Grand
- Policy Brief
Shifting US priorities and a degrading security environment – not to mention the possibility of a second Trump presidency – mean Europeans finally have to take more responsibility for their own security
Home alone: Germany’s security and defence policy when its closest allies are gone
- Ulrike Franke, Jana Puglierin
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
How can Keir Starmer keep Britain safe? As the US withdraws, he must renew the UK’s role in Europe
- Mark Leonard
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
More on Middle East and North Africa
Beyond proxies: Iran’s deeper strategy in Syria and Lebanon
- Hamidreza Azizi, Julien Barnes-Dacey
- Policy Brief
Iran has spent decades building up its influence in the Levant as part of its deterrence posture against Israel (and the US). The war in Gaza is now pushing the longstanding Israeli-Iranian conflict out into the open – and Lebanon and Syria are potential flashpoints for further escalation
Unlawful practices: How Europe can challenge Israel’s presence in Palestine
- Hugh Lovatt
- Policy Alert
- 2 minute read
Managed reform: What Iran’s new president means for European diplomacy
- Ellie Geranmayeh
- Commentary
- 5 minute read
More on United States
Imagining Trump 2.0: Six scary policy scenarios for a second term
- Célia Belin, Majda Ruge, Jeremy Shapiro
- Policy Brief
The potential return of Donald Trump to the White House is a matter of months away. Here are six scary policy scenarios to give Europeans sleepless nights and prepare them for what could be to come
China, trade, and security: What a Trump-Vance administration would mean for Europe
- Majda Ruge
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
Letter from Washington: The war for Trump’s mind
- Jeremy Shapiro
- Commentary
- Views from the Capitals
- 4 minute read
More on Wider Europe
The interest of values: The EU’s democracy promotion in the Western Balkans and the eastern neighbourhood
- Piotr Buras, Marie Dumoulin, Tefta Kelmendi, Marlene Marx
- Policy Brief
With EU enlargement back on the agenda, democracy promotion in candidate countries is a key geopolitical interest for the bloc. The EU’s previous efforts to promote democracy in the Western Balkans and eastern neighbourhood may hold valuable lessons for the years ahead
Rebuilding Ukraine: How a ‘prevention first’ approach can avert destruction and save costs
- Lesia Ogryzko
- Commentary
- 3 minute read
Finding friends: Europe, Serbia, and the lithium catalyst
- Engjellushe Morina
- Commentary
- 1 minute read