Highlights
Featured
Alone in a Trumpian world: The EU and global public opinion after the US elections
- Timothy Garton Ash, Ivan Krastev, Mark Leonard
- Policy Brief
Citizens of global powers are upbeat about a second Trump presidency – but this is by no means universal, particularly among traditional US allies
Why Europeans, Arab states and the Trump administration must work together to ensure a sustainable Gaza ceasefire
- Hugh Lovatt, Muhammad Shehada
- Policy Alert
- 2 minute read
Israel and Hamas have finally reached a ceasefire deal to end the war in Gaza. Europeans must now work with the incoming Donald Trump administration and Arab partners to secure Palestinian self-determination
Drones in Ukraine: Four lessons for the West
- Ulrike Franke
- Commentary
- 5 minute read
From overreliance on China to the growing involvement of civilians, the extensive use of drones in the Ukraine war offers crucial lessons for future conflicts
In the new Trumpian era, liberal democracies must hold their noses—and engage with difficult partners
- Timothy Garton Ash
- Commentary
- View from the Council
- 4 minute read
New polling says much of the world will welcome Trump. Europe will need to be more transactional abroad—but less so at home
Upcoming events
Strategic reset: Re-designing EU-Africa partnerships on critical minerals
- NH Hotel Berlaymont, Brussels
Recent events
Africa amid global shifts: Balancing partnerships
- Anwar Gargash Diplomatic Academy, Abu Dhabi
Mark Leonard's World in 30 minutes
Poland’s presidency: A new European leadership
- Podcast
- Mark Leonard's World in 30 minutes
Mark Leonard welcomes Joanna Bekker, Piotr Buras, and Marta Prochwicz Jazowska to discuss Poland’s presidency of the EU Council at a time of geopolitical uncertainty
ECFR on air
Saudi Arabia and Trump: What’s next for the Middle East
- Podcast
- ECFR on air
- WOMENP
Ellie Geranmayeh welcomes Dr. Manal Radwan to talk about the impact of Donald Trump’s election for the wars in the Middle East
Views from the Council
In the new Trumpian era, liberal democracies must hold their noses—and engage with difficult partners
- Timothy Garton Ash
- Commentary
- View from the Council
- 4 minute read
New polling says much of the world will welcome Trump. Europe will need to be more transactional abroad—but less so at home
What if Russia wins in Ukraine? We can already see the shadows of a dark 2025
- Timothy Garton Ash
- Commentary
- View from the Council
- 4 minute read
Instability is growing, Putin’s hybrid war in Europe is heating up, and for fear of escalation we have encouraged global nuclear proliferation
In the Media - Council
Mark Leonard, Ivan Krastev, and Timothy Garton Ash on ECFR’s latest global survey
Mark Leonard, Ivan Krastev, and Timothy Garton Ash on ECFR’s global survey on views on Trump 2.0
Mark Leonard, Ivan Krastev, Timothy Garton Ash on ECFR’s latest global survey
Mark Leonard, Timothy Garton Ash, and Ivan Krastev on ECFR’s new global polling report
Featured and flagship projects
Countdown to Trump
What would a Trump win mean for transatlantic relations? Would a Harris presidency mark another, different sort of turning point? What can – and should – a Europe with less US mean?
Defending Europe with less America
- Camille Grand
Re:Engage
This project helps the EU in refining its foreign policy, re-engaging neighbours post-Russia's invasion of Ukraine to bolster regional resilience and advance enlargement policies.
The interest of values: The EU’s democracy promotion in the Western Balkans and the eastern neighbourhood
- Piotr Buras, Marie Dumoulin, Tefta Kelmendi, Marlene Marx
Re:Order
Re:Order project explores emerging visions of the global order, as well as the interplay between economic might and geopolitical influence.
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Britain’s risky re-engagement: Why its China policy could strain the EU-UK reset
- Byford Tsang
- Policy Alert
- 1 minute read
British chancellor Rachel Reeves’s visit to Beijing over the weekend shows the Labour government’s willingness to re-engage with China. But this strategy could strain Britain’s relationship with the EU
Greenland with envy: How Europeans should respond to Trump’s obsession
- Katrine Westgaard
- Policy Alert
- 2 minute read
Donald Trump is obsessed with buying Greenland. Europeans should not succumb to his bullying but demonstrate to the future US president that they can and will provide security in the Arctic
Breaking free: Why ending Russian gas transit via Ukraine strengthens EU energy security
- Szymon KardaĹ›
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
Ukraine’s suspension of Russian gas transit through its territory is not a threat to EU energy security. However, the bloc’s member states should continue working towards their goal of becoming independent of fossil fuel supplies—including gas—from Russia by 2027
Why the EU should pay attention to Italy’s and Albania’s migration gamble
- Arturo Varvelli, Angela Ziccardi
- Commentary
- 5 minute read
Albania’s and Italy’s unique model of migration management has not had the intended effect. European countries must disregard it as a blueprint for future policies and work towards a more cohesive, people-oriented solution
Cold calculations: Why a freezing Transnistria helps Moscow
- Andrew Wilson
- Policy Alert
- 2 minute read
Russian gas has stopped flowing to Europe, leaving Transnistria without an energy supply. Moldova, dependent on electricity from the breakaway region, is now facing soaring inflation months away from a crucial parliamentary election
New protagonists: Why the EU’s future will be decided in central Europe
- Piotr Buras
- Commentary
- 5 minute read
Poland has taken over presidency of the EU Council. Donald Tusk’s approach to Europe could not be less aligned with his predecessor, Viktor Orban; the new ideological struggle playing out in central Europe may define the continent’s future
Our experts are available for media requests. Our work involves many issues relating to Europe and foreign policy, and our programmes focus on Africa, Asia, the Middle East & North Africa, and Wider Europe.
Mark Leonard and Ivan Krastev on ECFR’s research on Ukrainian and European views of Russia’s war on Ukraine
Mark Leonard, Ivan Krastev, and Timothy Garton Ash on ECFR’s latest global survey
Mark Leonard, Ivan Krastev, and Timothy Garton on ECFR’s new survey
Mark Leonard, Timothy Garton Ash, and Ivan Krastev on ECFR’s new global polling report
Mark Leonard, Ivan Krastev, and Timothy Garton Ash on ECFR’s latest survey
More on Africa
Rules of entry: Cooperative pathways for Europe and Africa on critical minerals
- Theophilus Acheampong
- Policy Brief
European countries want to secure supplies of African critical raw materials. To achieve this, they must increasingly meet locally set requirements that channel benefits into local economies in Africa
Why France should close its permanent military bases in Africa
- Will Brown, Suzanne Tisserand
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
Point-scoring over protection: How Russia’s politicking harms Sudanese civilians
- Jonas Horner
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
More on Asia
The idea of China
- Alicja Bachulska, Mark Leonard, Janka Oertel
- Book
China’s ideas could become the country’s next big export. The Idea of China examines Chinese thinking about global order, AI, demographic change, and more – and considers how these ideas could influence the world
Turmoil in Seoul: A potential setback for EU-South Korea security cooperation
- Alexander Lipke
- Policy Alert
- 2 minute read
When East meets West meets Trump’s America: European diplomacy in the Indo-Pacific
- James Crabtree, Alexander Lipke, Elli-Katharina Pohlkamp
- Commentary
- 8 minute read
More on European Power
Empowering Poland: The role of international partnerships
- Szymon KardaĹ›
- Policy Brief
To effectively transition to a low-carbon economy while bolstering energy security and economic stability, Poland is betting on cooperation with international partners
What if Russia wins in Ukraine? We can already see the shadows of a dark 2025
- Timothy Garton Ash
- Commentary
- View from the Council
- 4 minute read
The likely lads: Why Merz’s new political generation will decide Germany’s future
- Timo Lochocki
- Commentary
- 5 minute read
More on Middle East and North Africa
Dealing with Trump, Israel, and Hamas: The path to peace in the Middle East
- Hugh Lovatt, Muhammad Shehada
- Policy Brief
With a two-state solution at risk, Europeans must work closely with Arab states to bring the Israeli-Palestinian conflict to an end
How European leaders can support sustainable refugee returns in a post-Assad Syria
- Kelly Petillo
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
Trump’s return: A disaster for Gaza, a challenge for Europe
- Muhammad Shehada
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
More on United States
Trump’s tinderbox: US politics and the next war in the Balkans
- Adnan Ćerimagić, Majda Ruge
- Policy Brief
Serbian revisionism is on the march and would be greatly strengthened by a Trump win. The EU must prepare a deterrence plan — and take greater responsibility for Western Balkan security
Glitch in the matrix: How Europeans should respond to the Trump-Musk tech agenda
- José Ignacio Torreblanca, Giorgos Verdi
- Commentary
- 5 minute read
Transatlantic drift: UK-EU defence cooperation in the second Trump era
- Anand Sundar
- Commentary
- 5 minute read
More on Wider Europe
Farce then tragedy: Russian views of the West and what they mean for Ukraine
- Kadri Liik
- Policy Brief
How the Kremlin’s view of a declining US and a mercurial Europe shapes the prospects for a Trump-Putin deal
What if Russia wins in Ukraine? We can already see the shadows of a dark 2025
- Timothy Garton Ash
- Commentary
- View from the Council
- 4 minute read
Climate of connection: The Western Balkans, the EU, and the value of transport
- Eleonora Shuli
- Commentary
- 3 minute read