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Trust the numbers: Germans are open to a more hawkish China policy
- Nele Anders, Nina Schmelzer
Featured
If Marine Le Pen wins: A European guide to a far-right France
- Célia Belin, Jeremy Cliffe, Camille Lons, Constance Victor
- Policy Brief
A Le Pen-led France would mean major changes to European politics. Here’s how political leaders can begin to prepare
Hamas has agreed to disarm. Israel should now agree to peace
- Hugh Lovatt
- Commentary
- 6 minute read
Despite all odds, there is now a realistic path towards ending the war in Gaza. Its success now depends on Israel. Europe could help tip the balance
Managed disorder: The hard road to a modest peace with Russia after Ukraine
- Jeremy Shapiro, with Samuel Charap, Bob Deen, Hiski Haukkala, Ivan Krastev, Hanna Notte, Jim O’Brien
- Policy Brief
When the fighting in Ukraine stops, America and Europe will likely end up facing Russia in a low-grade rivalry for years to come. Here is how to prevent that disordered rivalry from sliding into another war
Two of a kind: How France and Italy can show the way for Europe’s Africa policy
- Maddalena Procopio, Suzanne Tisserand
- Commentary
- 6 minute read
Rome and Paris have each overhauled their economic strategies towards Africa in the past few years, competing openly for influence on the continent. Here is how the EU can use that rivalry to sharpen Europe’s offer to Africa
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Recent events
Annual Council Meeting 2026
- · ECFR Berlin
ECFR Scenario Game: Which MENA Region in 2030?
- · ECFR Rome
Mark Leonard's World in 30 minutes
Latin America’s new imaginaries
- Podcast
- Mark Leonard's World in 30 minutes
Mark Leonard welcomes Adriana Abdenur and Jorge Castañeda to discuss how China is reshaping the political imagination of Latin America
ECFR on air
Lebanon: On the brink of war or peace?
- Podcast
- ECFR on air
- WOMENP
Ellie Geranmayeh is joined by Alia Moubayed, Randa Slim and Maha Yahya to discuss what the trilateral framework deal signed by Israel, the US and Lebanon means for the Lebanese stability
Views from the Council
The EU should ban all trade with Israeli settlements
- Sigmar Gabriel, Arancha González Laya, Pascal Lamy, Enrico Letta, Cecilia Malmström
- Commentary
- View from the Council
- 2 minute read
It is high time the EU follow its own trade policy and ban trade of all goods and services from Israel’s illegal settlements in the West Bank
Unconventional deterrence: How Europe can ward off a Russian attack
- Jean-Marie Guéhenno
- Commentary
- View from the Council
- 4 minute read
A nuclear deterrent does not preclude major war. Putin has learnt this lesson—now Europe needs to do the same
In the Media - Council
Interview with Edwin Bendyk on the current state of Ukrainian affairs
Edwin Bendyk comments the state of Polish-Ukrainian relations
Edwin Bendyk on the Ukraine Recovery Conference in Gdańsk
Featured and flagship projects
The Data Collection
Explore our open-access data platform for unparalleled access to ECFR’s public opinion polls—empowering research and insight on today’s key foreign policy issues.
Transatlantic twilight: European public opinion and the long shadow of Trump
- Jana Puglierin, Arturo Varvelli, Paweł Zerka
Re:Engage
This project helps the EU in refining its foreign policy, re-engaging neighbours post-Russia's invasion of Ukraine to bolster regional resilience and advance enlargement policies.
The interest of values: The EU’s democracy promotion in the Western Balkans and the eastern neighbourhood
- Piotr Buras, Marie Dumoulin, Tefta Kelmendi, Marlene Marx
Re:Order
Re:Order project explores emerging visions of the global order, as well as the interplay between economic might and geopolitical influence.
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Anti-corruption sanctions: Preparing for the time after Trump
- Sarah McCool, Jim O’Brien
- Commentary
- 6 minute read
Anti-corruption sanctions—and even the prospect of them—under the next US administration will be crucial to chances of peace in many parts of the world. Here’s how Europeans can play their part
Trust the numbers: Germans are open to a more hawkish China policy
- Nele Anders, Nina Schmelzer
- Commentary
- 1 minute read
ECFR polling suggests significant public support not only for tougher German policy on China but also for investment in renewables—tackling twin problems together
Alone at the border: Ceuta and Europe’s solidarity failure
- Carla Hobbs
- Policy Alert
- 2 minute read
By failing to show solidarity with a member state under pressure, the EU is encouraging Morocco and others to keep using migration as a tool of coercion
How splits on the right may threaten Poland’s pro-European camp
- Piotr Buras
- Policy Alert
- 2 minute read
More than 40 MPs have walked out of Law and Justice, Poland’s largest opposition party, and will court centre-right voters who put Donald Tusk in power in 2023. To win them back, Tusk should make the European argument he has spent years avoiding
NATO’s digital arsenal: How Europe can avoid a new dependence on America
- Gustav Gressel
- Commentary
- 5 minute read
AI-powered command systems are becoming the backbone of modern warfare. NATO needs shared standards, but if those rest on American software, interoperability will come at the price of dependence
The Saudi dilemma: How Yemen could shape the next phase of the Iran war
- Cinzia Bianco
- Commentary
- 3 minute read
As the Houthis attack Saudi ships and infrastructure, Riyadh faces an increasingly difficult choice: absorb the blows to stay out of the Iran war or retaliate and risk a dangerous escalation
Our experts are available for media requests. Our work involves many issues relating to Europe and foreign policy, and our programmes focus on Africa, Asia, the Middle East & North Africa, and Wider Europe.
Alberto Rizzi on European solidarity from Ceuta to China trade disputes
More on Africa
The ammonia age: How Europe and Africa can steer global shipping to net zero
- Sarah Logan
- Policy Brief
The IMO’s Net-Zero Framework is critical for EU competitiveness and the clearest path to decarbonise shipping. African backing may prove decisive as American and Gulf pressure stalls progress
Shoring up the Red Sea: Why the next crisis may begin in the Horn of Africa
- Corrado Čok
- Commentary
- 6 minute read
After Ukraine: The peace dividend Africa does not want
- Will Brown, Lena Krause
- Commentary
- 3 minute read
More on Asia
The art of the swarm: Systemic rivalry with China on European terms
- Andrew Small
- Policy Brief
The EU can exploit its system to say no to China—now, and long into the future
Trump in Beijing: Why the game stays the same for Europe
- Andrew Small
- Commentary
- 3 minute read
Power couple: How South Korea fits in Europe’s battery strategy
- Alexander Lipke, Jihye Yoo
- Commentary
- 5 minute read
More on European Power
The future is fermented: How Europe can succeed in the next industrial race
- Janka Oertel, with Nina Schmelzer
- Policy Brief
The next industrial revolution will be built with microbes as much as machines. China understands this. Europe still has the science to compete but must act quickly before industrial leadership slips away again
One foot out: Understanding Bulgaria’s geopolitical shift under Radev
- Maria Simeonova, Vessela Tcherneva
- Policy Alert
- 2 minute read
How better climate diplomacy can save Europe’s green ambitions
- Mats Engström
- Policy Alert
- 2 minute read
More on European Security
The magnificent ten: A coalition of the willing to drive the EU’s next enlargement
- Engjellushe Morina, Gabrielė Valodskaitė
- Policy Brief
A Team Enlargement coalition of EU member states can drive the changes needed to bring Ukraine and others into the bloc
The fallout of the fallout: Zelensky’s reshuffle and protests in Ukraine
- Jana Kobzová
- Policy Alert
- 2 minute read
Behind the curve: Britain’s defence investment plan in Trump’s world
- Nick Witney
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
More on Middle East and North Africa
Iran nuclear monitor: Month by month
- Ellie Geranmayeh
- Special
America and Israel have bombed Iran since 2025 to block Tehran’s path to nuclear weapons. ECFR’s interactive dashboard, updated monthly, assesses current evidence about Iran’s nuclear activities to determine which of six possible scenarios is most likely
Down and out from Rabat to Cairo: The Iran war and North African instability
- Tarek Megerisi
- Commentary
- 5 minute read
Europeans don’t need consensus to challenge Israel and its settlements
- Hugh Lovatt
- Commentary
- 5 minute read
More on United States
Sliding doors: One Trump crisis, two possible futures for Europe
- Nevada Joan Lee
- Policy Brief
The next Trump crisis will come. European governments facing American pressure will need to weigh the costs and benefits of their responses. Here are two scenarios to show what resistance costs, and why those costs are lower than they appear
America’s “direct return” doctrine—and what it means for the world
- Jim O’Brien
- Commentary
- 7 minute read
As the US midterms loom, the Republican choice is surrender—or lose
- Chris Herrmann, Nevada Joan Lee
- Policy Alert
- 2 minute read