While Tehran wants to avoid being sucked into a wider war…, it may feel compelled to respond more forcefully to maintain the credibility of its regional deterrence posture
Media mentions
The developing conflict between Israel and Iran . . . is increasingly moving out of the shadows towards direct confrontation and [that] would propel the wider region into far deeper levels of conflict
There has been a desire to destroy the Russian economy and make Russia unable to continue the war … but it has been rather unrealistic in terms of what sanctions can actually achieve
International maritime traffic is much more delicate and vulnerable than it may seem: even a small armed group is capable of blocking one of the world’s most important shipping channels
We cannot dismiss that Isis-K is planning an attack in Europe. The group has moved from local to global projection and has grown in its ability to conduct attacks
Now leaders like al-Sisi and Saied feel more confident that they will be given leeway to cement their power and use financial support to do the bare minimum to sustain people in these countries
Kevin Cunningham, Susi Dennison, Simon Hix and Imogen Learmonth on the forecast for the 2024 European elections
a significant shift to the right in many countries in the June vote, with populist radical right parties gaining votes and seats across the EU, and centre-left and green parties losing votes and seats
Ivan Krastev and Mark Leonard on European public opinion ahead of the European Parliament elections
Ivan Krastev and Mark Leonard on European public opinion ahead of the European Parliament elections
Ivan Krastev and Mark Leonard on Europeans’ belief on the war in Ukraine