Russia 2030: A story of great power dreams and small victorious wars
The future of Europe’s relations with Russia looks bleak as the Kremlin pursues an increasingly aggressive foreign policy
Publications – Wider Europe
Putin’s hydra: Inside Russia’s intelligence services
Far from being an all-powerful “spookocracy” that controls the Kremlin, Russia’s intelligence services are internally divided
Putin’s downfall: The coming crisis of the Russian regime
The current trajectory of the Russian regime is unstable and without dramatic change it will crumble within the next year
Survival of the richest: How oligarchs block reform in Ukraine
The penetration of Ukrainian politics by the super-rich oligarchy still forms a major obstacle to reform
Return to instability: How migration and great power politics threaten the Western Balkans
EU’s weakness is prompting a new scramble for power for the Balkans with Russia, Turkey and other actors
European Foreign Policy Scorecard 2016
The sixth ECFR Foreign Policy Scorecard highlights the EU’s diminishing ability to influence its neighbours, and the neighbourhood’s growing impact on the EU
Dayton revisited: Bosnia’s peace deal 20 years on
Two decades after the end of the Bosnian war Carl Bildt considers the successes and failures of Dayton
Russia’s quiet military revolution and what it means for Europe
Putin’s expansionist policy in Russia’s neighbourhood is backed up by a poised and professional military
Turkey, the Kurds and the fight against Islamic State
Europe must prioritise diplomatic support for peace between Turkey and the Kurds as a pre-requisite for a successful strategy against Islamic State
Can “Putinomics” survive?
The Russian economy is set for a slow decline