Jana Puglierin and Jeremy Shapiro write about the changes in transatlantic relations caused by Russia’s war against Ukraine
Media mentions – Wider Europe
Putin was in the weakest position during his whole rule, he called Lukashenko and Lukashenko helped him
Would Lukashenko accept someone else doing politics in his country, where he is the main dictator? I don’t think so
On the tactical level, it’s important to pacify a bit, to make it calm, to give some hope and benefits to the ordinary Wagner mercenaries and senior command, to reduce their incentives to act
Lukashenko prefers to have men he can control: I’m not sure he can trust mercenaries
If Prigozhin will not have Wagner troops, if they will take Wagner troops from him, this will probably mean he is out of the game