Managed chaos: Russia’s deal with Turkey on northern Syria
Russia is now in charge of a multi-front war. It will need to manage relations between multiple local actors very carefully.
Russia is now in charge of a multi-front war. It will need to manage relations between multiple local actors very carefully.
Erdogan's government views the deal as a testament to its ability to act independently of Washington even in areas where there is a US military presence
Turkey’s invasion means Europeans can no longer be bystanders to Syria. They must now take three urgent steps.
The goal of establishing an international tribunal to prosecute ISIS fighters is gaining momentum in European capitals, however, whether this aspiration can be translated into a credible policy remains to be seen
At the Brussels III fundraising conference, the question of how to help civilians without legitimizing the ascendant Assad regime looms large.
Sanctions can never be ‘smart’; new EU and US measures on Syria are only likely to strengthen the regime, not weaken it
The involvement of Russian private military companies in Africa is rapidly growing, and with it, their political and economic influence
As the war in Syria continues the focus is now on rooting out Iran rather than ousting Assad
The good news is that neither Washington nor Moscow sees the advantage of a showdown on Syria. The bad news is that the confrontation could still escalate.
It remains hard to see how this US administration will produce a wider strategy for Syria that both allows for meaningful impact and limits escalation.