The core of Wagner’s offer in Africa is to provide protection to leaders who fear that rival armed groups are trying to oust them from power
Marie Dumoulin questions the way Wagner will operate in foreign theatres following Prigozhin’s rebellion
Media mentions – Russia
Prigozhin is not so easy to eliminate. It remains to be seen whether his Belarusian refuge, his political clout and his role in Africa will keep him safe, at least temporarily.
These events directly call into question one of the key elements of Putin’s narrative since he came to power: ensuring order and stability in Russia after the chaos of the 1990s
After the march on Moscow, Wagner is unlikely to remain a reliable security provider for foreign leaders. The Wagner model will therefore undergo fundamental changes
Formally, Vladimir Putin’s power was not threatened, but his authority was explicitly and radically challenged
Marie Dumoulin comments on the consequences of the Wagner rebellion led by Yevgeny Prigozhin.
Formally, Putin’s power has not been threatened, but his authority has been explicitly and radically questioned
Putin could be driven from power, leaving behind a fragmented Russia where various “warlords” compete for power – including control of the world’s largest nuclear arsenal
Ana Palacio warns of Russia’s dangerous nuclear consensus
Before February 2022, Wagner’s main activity was to offer protection to foreign governments, as in the Central African Republic and Mali
Marie Dumoulin comments on the armed rebellion within Russia by Yevgeny Prigozhin’s Wagner mercenaries
The fact that Putin is willing to make concessions when faced with violence may herald further challenges of an even more radical nature
Marie Dumoulin comments on the mutiny of the Wagner group and its consequences on Putin’s authority
In the most dangerous moment in Putin’s biography, Lukashenko was there to help and to serve his boss in Moscow
Pavel Slunkin comments on Lukashenko’s role as mediator in the context of the Wagner rebellion