I think the conflict will remain localized. However, its effects on energy, value chains and migration flows – inter alia – are global
Arturo Varvelli explains how the Russian threat has changed the perceptions of risk of European countries, and what is the impact of the war in Ukraine on Europe
Since the Syria crisis erupted more than 10 years ago, we’ve seen that there was a high level of reluctancy from Europeans to share the burden amongst themselves
The situation is a huge risk for Turkey, there is no doubt. Iran will also stand to lose if the Taliban returns to its old ways and provides a safe haven for Islamist extremists
Asli Aydıntaşbaş on the inflow of refugees in Iran and Turkey after the Taliban takeover of Afghanistan
Morocco is weaponizing migration
Morocco has seen the EU’s reaction, with which it had not counted on, and had to close the border to not risk worsening relations, not with Spain but, with Brussels
José Ignacio Torreblanca comments on the EU’s backing in the Spanish-Moroccan crisis
Morocco believes that they help Spain on issues that are existential for them and now that Morocco has an existential issue [Western Sahara], Spain is not helping at all
José Ignacio Torreblanca is quoted in an article tackling the Moroccan-Spanish migration crisis in Ceuta
Deepening state failure in Syria is likely only to lead to further instability and entrench Assad’s warlord-like hold on the country as he defends the organs of state needed to maintain power
If the public debate plays up the perceived link between the virus, borders, and migrants, this will come dangerously close to arguments about national purity and racial superiority
In the short term this crisis snuffs out a lot of activism, but once the health situation becomes manageable, this potentially unleashes a wave of challenges for incumbent elites
Julien Barnes-Dacey quoted on the risks covid-19 bring about for the MENA region
René Wildangel quoted on how populists use the corona crisis for their anti-immigration agenda
