If things in Sudan drag on, Haftar and his allies could get involved. This could change the balance of power and have ripple effects on the Libyan conflict.
Tarek Megerisi explains how a prolongation of the conflict in Sudan could have repercussions in Libya as well
Sudan is surrounded by countries that all have their own national interest in the outcome of this war. Sooner or later, they will be drawn into this conflict like into a black hole.
Theodore Murphy warns of a kind of “domino effect” in the Sudan conflict
They did not realise that the new agreement crossed the red lines of Burhan’s regular forces
Theodore Murphy believes that the mediators in the Sudan conflict did not sufficiently understand the motives and positions of Burhan and Hemedti
I don’t think it’s useful to look at this as just a Russia story
Theodore Murphy warns that the burgeoning conflict in Sudan could spill over into neighboring countries, creating regional and economic instability
The EU tries to stabilise things and mediate. The Russians come in with a proposal to back one party in any given conflict, usually autocratic ones
Their relative equal power and their ambition for total domination have doomed all negotiations since the transition […]. The problem is not the negotiations, but the lack of political will.
Theodore Murphy analyzes the crisis in Sudan, focusing on two possible scenarios: either the victory for one of the warring parties, or the prolongation of the conflict
In a desperate deflection tactic, he has embraced a Tunisian version of the rightwing ‘great replacement theory’, prompting a racist crackdown on black Africans
Tarek Megerisi claims that Tunisia’s president Saied is clinging to conspiracy theories instead of focusing on economic reform
Italy cannot act alone in Africa. The “Mattei Plan” has to be framed into an EU initiative.
In the competition for Africa, the West is raising the stakes, writes Theo Murphy in his op-ed
The Mattei Plan is an excellent idea that can work very well with Southern Mediterranean countries and with Africa, but up to now it is a rhetorical game that needs to be filled with content
Arturo Varvelli comments on the idea of a “Mattei Plan” to be implemented by Meloni’s government in Africa