Iran’s attacks on the Gulf have convinced Abu Dhabi that accommodation with Tehran has failed. Leaving OPEC reflects the UAE’s turn towards strategic autonomy, harder security alliances and a regional order less constrained by old consensuses
Donald Trump is in Beijing, but Europeans should not expect decisive guidance or a grand bargain with Xi Jinping. They should instead focus on managing their own exposure to Chinese risks
With the ejection of Trumpian hero Viktor Orban, Hungarians demanded a restored democracy. Now, Europe must support them
Netanyahu promised Israelis a “new Middle East”; Trump imposed ceasefires instead. Now, the Israeli PM’s reliance on Washington gives Europeans and Arab partners an opportunity to preserve the fragile peace and stabilise Lebanon
Under a barrage of cognitive warfare, European governments need institutions designed to interpret threats, coordinate responses and act fast
As Russian aggression continues and Trump’s US threatens NATO, it is even more vital for a unified defence of the continent
ECFR polling reveals that Peter Magyar’s mandate is far more complicated than EU leaders were hoping for: voters want domestic repair first, are split on Ukraine, and increasingly reluctant to ditch Russian energy
Europe’s battery dependence on China is clear, but closing the gap alone will be difficult. Partnering with South Korea, the world’s second-largest manufacturer, offers a faster and more realistic route
The EU is right to raise its ambitions on the electrification rate—but the target is highly stretching. Only a more aggressive approach will suffice
Despite the many threats around it—and in part because of them—the continent can emerge from this period stronger and more resilient