The European Council on Foreign Relations

What did we really learn from the economic crisis?

By Emma Bonino - 29 Sep 09

The height of sentimentality about the financial crisis may have passed with the morbid first anniversary of the collapse of Lehman Brothers, but that does not mean we should stop reflecting on the worst financial calamity of our time.

Of course, the world will never be the same. Yes, new economic powers have emerged and will reshape the global economy. We can say we all "learnt our lesson". We have heard it all before. But what have we really learnt?

As the saga of platitudes on the financial crisis comes to an end, hard questions now lie on the hands of world leaders. And the number of hands has expanded, with the Group of 20 leading nations set to replace the G7 and G8 as the hub of global economic co-operation. Economic giants, such as China, India and Brazil, will now have a voice in shaping world finance. This, of course, illustrates that decentralisation of economic power in the new world order is an unstoppable development, which may prove to be a positive one if the newcomers behave as responsible stakeholders.

But will all this summitry really make a difference? With the benefit of hindsight we can see the flaws in the financial system that allowed the collapse of Lehman Brothers to bring the global economy to its knees. But will we be able to say we wised up and put in place a better financial system?

Unlikely. So far, all we have really done is change the decision-making body, while the causes and symptoms of the financial crisis remain unchecked. Small and medium-sized banks continue to file for bankruptcy at a worrying pace. We still have not curbed the noxious behaviour of big banks: their social and political importance was enhanced more than scrutinised by the financial fallout after the Lehman disaster. "No more Lehmans" was the motto, cried both by banks and the public. The toxic combination of bank subsidies and bankers' bonuses have socialised losses and privatised gains.

Society (and governments) learnt that we simply cannot afford another bank to collapse. This gave City boys leverage to claim that they really are "Masters of the Universe" and need to keep doing what they have always been doing - making high-risk money - for the "good" of society, even if this means the taxpayer needs to foot the bill.

To make matters worse, in this era of the G20 and globalisation, we still do not have a coherent global response to the crisis. European Union co-ordination has been unacceptably poor, especially for eurozone countries. For example, every member state decided on its own protectionist agenda to nationalise banks or subsidise industries. Europe remains split over bonus regulation, with only France and Germany pushing for tougher pay restrictions in the banking sector.

We are told that the worst is over. We will all be flush with cash again soon. But in the meantime, do not worry about employment statistics - they are bound to take a beating for a while yet. As for international security and our defence commitments, our boys in Afghanistan will do well on a reduced budget. Forget about climate change. We cannot afford green economies at the moment; the health of the planet needs to wait.

We will have to wait and see whether last Friday's glamorous photo opportunity of the newly empowered G20 will lead to any concrete action to save the world's economy.

But unless consumer confidence, investments and international trade pick up on a global scale, it will take months, perhaps years, to sort out the current economic predicament. We are more distant today from a fair and functioning market system than we have been for a long time. This is fast becoming the legacy of the collapse of Lehman Brothers. What did we really learn again?

The writer is vice-president of Italy's senate and a council member of the European Council on Foreign Relations.

This piece first appeared in the Financial Times.  


Comments

There are no comments for this entry yet. Get the discussion started and post below.

Submit a Comment

Your message will be submitted to a moderator before appearing online. Name and email address are required, all other fields are optional. Your email will not be displayed.

Please enter the word you see in the image below:

Remember my personal information

Latest Publications

How France and Germany can make Europe work

Hollande and Merkel should launch an ambitious EU reform programme

China and Germany: a new special relationship?

Why the emerging special relationship matters for Europe

China Analysis: Taiwan after the election

How will Taiwan’s relationship with China evolve? 

Jordan: Reform before it’s too late

Europe should take a more assertive approach to political reform in Jordan

China at the crossroads: are the reformers winning the argument?

China is facing a choice between regress and reform

How the EU can support reform in Burma

Europe can help Burma reform, but its help must be gradual

Syria: Towards a Political Solution

An end to the bloodshed may necessitate talks with the regime

The end of the Putin consensus

Putin's return: why Europe should prepare for a weaker Putin

The long shadow of ordoliberalism: Germany's approach to the euro crisis

The thinking behind Germany's unpopular approach to the crisis

European Foreign Policy Scorecard 2012

How well did European foreign policy perform over the last year?

China Analysis: Facing the risks of the 'going out strategy'

From a major exporter of goods to a major exporter of capital

Reinvention of Europe

In the Press

Financial Times
18 May 12

Sebastian Dullien's article on the myths surrounding a Greek € exit is mentioned in the…

Rzeczpospolita
17 May 12

Silvia Francescon quoted on G20 significance for Polish daily

New York Times
15 May 12

Thomas Klau quoted on Hollande's visit to Berlin

Le Monde
15 May 12

Le Monde quotes ECFR's Policy Brief on China and Germany new special relationship

Read more press >

Publications side bar