The European Council on Foreign Relations

Commentary: Andrew Wilson

The Tymoshenko verdict

11 Oct 11 - Andrew Wilson,

The EU's credibility is at stake over the sentencing of Yuliya Tymoshenko to seven years imprisonment. Unless there are signals from Kiev that the sentence will be reviewed or repealled, the EU must act.

 

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Latvia's unnoticed revolution: analysing the elections

22 Sep 11 - Andrew Wilson,

After a deep recession, an impressive recovery and years of fractious relations with its Russian-speaking minority, Latvia might be on the brink of breaking free from the problems that have dogged its politics since independence. The country's elections last week might have gone largely unnoticed in the outside world, but they could trigger a mini-revolution. 

 

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Happy Birthday, Ukraine?

23 Aug 11 - Andrew Wilson,

On 24th August 1991, Ukraine declared itself independent. Andrew Wilson, who was in Kiev learning Ukrainian at the time, assesses where the country stands two decades on.

 

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Where next for Europe on Belarus?

It is too simplistic to say that the regime in Belarus has turned its back on the EU: it cannot afford to. Europe must react to the post-election crackdown, but new blanket sanctions would only reduce its leverage. Instead, Europe must learn to empower those in Minsk who favour close links with the West.

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The last dictator's last hurrah

18 Dec 10 - Andrew Wilson,

President Lukashenka doesn't expect to lose the election being held in Belarus, but the great survivor knows that his basic strategy is under severe strain - both at home and abroad.

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Neo-Titoism spreads as Brussels? influence wanes

22 Nov 10 - Andrew Wilson,

The EU’s annual summit with Ukraine takes place with Brussels desperately searching for success stories in the Eastern Neighbourhood. The countries there are increasingly acting as balancers rather than joiners, treading a fine line between the EU and Moscow

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The Rostov summit

28 May 10 - Andrew Wilson,
Russian and EU leaders will gather in Rostov-on-Don for their bi-annual summit on 31 May ? 1 June. The geographical symbolism is not good: Rostov is only a few kilometres from Abkhazia and South Ossetia. The political mood leading up to the summit seems a little better.
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Tilting towards Russia?

21 May 10 - Andrew Wilson,
The Ukrainian pendulum is swinging in the direction of Moscow. This is not necessarily just because of gas or economics. It could also be because Kiev feels Russia is a better long-term bet than the West, and that should be worrying a lot of people.
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The Polish-Russian rapprochement gathers steam

08 May 10 - Andrew Wilson,
The tragic plane crash in Smolensk has brought Russia and Poland closer together. Emotions aside, what do they both want to gain from the rapprochement?
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What are the Ukrainians playing at?

30 Apr 10 - Andrew Wilson,
Eggs, smoke bombs and the Black Sea Fleet. Ukraine is back to playing the game it knows best: the balancing act between East and West.
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Eastern Europe after the tragedy in Smolensk

23 Apr 10 - Andrew Wilson,
The tragedy of the Smolensk plane crash has led to a strengthening of the rapprochement between Moscow and Warsaw. But is the reconciliation built upon more than a hug between Vladimir Putin and Donald Tusk?
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Yanukovych and Nixon

19 Mar 10 - Andrew Wilson,
President Yanukovych could be a ?Ukrainian Nixon': Just as Nixon used his anti-communist credentials to pave his engagement with China, Yanukovych could use his pro-Russian credentials to reassure Ukraine's Russian-speaking population while reaching out to Europe
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Dealing with Yanukovych?s Ukraine: a policy brief

18 Mar 10 - Andrew Wilson,
The Yanukovych Paradox ? How the new Ukrainian president can be good news for Europe.
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Ukraine decides: the questions to ask

11 Feb 10 - Andrew Wilson,
Leave Tymoshenko aside for now; it's time to start asking what a Yanukovych presidency means for Ukraine. Andrew Wilson puts the key questions in politics, energy, defence and the media
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Ukraine decides: Still waiting for Yuliya

10 Feb 10 - Andrew Wilson,
Not giving up, but not storming the barricades: all eyes remain on Tymoshenko's next move
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