The European Council on Foreign Relations

A European call for recognition of a Palestinian state

Date: 19th September 2011  |  Author: Fran Yeoman,

Categories: Middle East and North Africa,

23 members of the ECFR Council are among 41 prominent Europeans who have signed the following statement (in a personal capacity) calling for the recognition of a Palestinian state by European governments:

"In 2009 the Palestinian Authority embarked on a process to complete the building of the institutions of a prospective Palestinian State. The European Union has consistently encouraged and supported this endeavor, both in terms of financial and technical assistance and with respect to the political objective.

Today the question of the recognition of this state is before us. The Palestinian Authority has identified September 2011 as the conclusion of the state-building process, and the Palestinian leadership may solicit formal recognition of Palestinian sovereignty over the occupied territories from the United Nations and its Member States.

Should this request be made,

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The fiery debate over Palestinian statehood

Date: 19th September 2011  |  Author: Nicholas Walton,

Categories: Middle East and North Africa,

The debate over the possible recognition of Palestinian statehood has a well deserved reputation for getting fiery. Last week ECFR published a contribution to the debate by Daniel Levy and Nick Witney, in which the authors argued that Europe would gain most from a unified ‘yes’ vote, if – as they expect – the Palestinians go to the United Nations General Assembly to ask for their UN status to be upgraded. (Here is a pdf of the memo.)

This was followed by this article by the head of our Warsaw office, Konstanty Gebert, agreeing that Europe would benefit most from a united front, but putting forward the argument that the collective position should be behind an abstention, rather than ‘yes’.

Members of ECFR’s council are also split. This opinion piece by Javier Solana and Martti Ahtisaari, published in the International Herald Tribune, outlined the ten (or maybe eleven) reasons for

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An alternative to ECFR’s Scorecard

Date: 16th September 2011  |  Author: Nicholas Walton,

Categories: Europe and the world, Scorecard,

When we were planning ECFR's Foreign Policy Scorecard, we invested money, time, expertise and effort. We were proud with what we came up with, and we're now starting to get down to business for the first annual update, due out early next year.

Something popped up today, however, that has made me rethink the whole project. It's something that has appeared on Foreign Policy's excellent blog, written by Joshua Keating. The idea is disarmingly simple: 'Decline Watch'.

Each post, we'll choose a datapoint or article that purports to show a sign of American decline and rate it from 1 to 5. Here's the scoring system:

1: We're totally screwed. Start learning Mandarin.

2. Being a superpower was nice while it lasted.

3. Stay calm and carry on.

4. Decline, schmecline. We're gonna be just fine.

5. USA! USA! 

The first post analyses a recent decline in school exam

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Madrid View: Schäuble-fatigue

Date: 16th September 2011  |  Author: Jose Ignacio Torreblanca,

Categories: Euro Crisis, Madrid view, Reinventing Europe,

(click here for a bigger version of this chart).

For more than a year, Wolfgang Schäuble and many others in Germany have been singing the same song about fiscally irresponsible states being the cause of the current monetary turbulence. As summarised in the Financial Times on September 5th, “whatever role the markets have played in catalysing the sovereign debt crisis, it is an undisputable fact that excessive state spending has led to unsustainable levels of debt and deficits that now threat our economic welfare.”  

Yet on fiscal irresponsibility, the chart above says it all. Between 2000 and 2010, Germany, France and Austria broke the Maastricht rules on 14 occasions, as compared to Spain, which broke them just four times (all after Lehman Brothers). Hard evidence which Schäuble and his like keep on ignoring.

As for his very hasty description of market responsibility

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Germany in Europe: new Europe, new Weimar?

Date: 15th September 2011  |  Author: Ulrike Guérot,

Categories: Germany in Europe,

This week, I was in Warsaw for a conference to celebrate the 20th birthday of the often-neglected Weimar Triangle. The Poles do a lot to place themselves at the centre of Europe’s activities and are always trying to reinvent Weimar: boarding the aircraft in Berlin, there was a highly visible sign, advertising to Germans the website of the Polish presidency of the EU.

The Polish President hosted this Weimar conference in his beautiful royal castle, while Polish Foreign Minister Radek Sikorski delivered a powerful speech pretty much along the lines of: “Poland is the new Germany in Europe,” meaning that the country is Europe’s new powerhouse – one of the trends that Zbigniew Brzezińsk had already depicted in his last book. In absence of Roland Dumas and Hans-Dietrich Genscher, former foreign ministers of France and Germany respectively who both felt ill two days before and had to

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